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河南省油茶气象灾害变化规律分析

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基于河南省油茶主产区地面国家气象观测站 1991~2022 年气温、降水和日照数据,运用数理统计方法,开展河南省油茶气象灾害变化规律分析.结果表明:(1)1991~2022 年河南省油茶气象灾害共发生161 次,发生频率为 50.31 次/10 年,灾害发生呈显著减少趋势,减少速率为 1.47 次/10 年.(2)幼果期低温灾害发生次数最多,花期低温阴雨寡照次之,油脂转化积累期高温灾害发生次数最少,幼果期低温和花期低温阴雨寡照发生明显较其它灾害频繁.(3)各时间段灾害总发生频率均在桐柏县最大,除 20 世纪 90 年代灾害总发生频率在光山县最小外,其它各时间段均在商城县最小.(4)新县需重点防范花期低温阴雨寡照和幼果期低温灾害.除新县外,花期低温阴雨寡照、幼果期低温、果实成熟期阴雨灾害发生均呈现北多南少的特征.果实膨大高峰期干旱灾害在油茶主产区中南部发生频率相对较高.油脂转化积累期高温灾害各县均仅在 2022 年气候较极端年份发生.(5)河南省油茶主产区北部地区需防范低温阴雨灾害,山区需防范低温灾害,中南部地区需防范高温灾害.
Analysis on the Changes of Meteorological Disasters in Camellia oleifera in Henan Province
Based on the temperature,precipitation,and sunshine data from the national meteorological observation stations in the main producing areas of Camellia oleifera in Henan Province from 1991 to 2022,the mathematical statistics method was used to analyze the changing patterns of meteorological disasters in Camellia oleifera in Henan Province.The results showed that:(1)From 1991 to 2022,there were 161 meteorological disasters in Camellia oleifera in Henan Province,with a frequency of 50.31 disasters per 10 years.The occurrence of disasters showed a significant decreasing trend,with a decrease rate of 1.47 disasters per 10 years.(2)The occurrence of low temperature disasters during the young fruit stage was the most frequent,followed by low temperature and low sunshine during the flower stage,while high temperature disasters were least likely to occur during the oil conversion and accumulation stage.The frequency of low temperature occurrences in the young fruit stage and low temperature with low sunshine occurrences in the flower stage was significantly higher compared to other types of disasters.(3)The total oc-currence frequency of disasters in each time period was the highest in Tongbai County,except for the end of the 20th century,when the total occurrence frequency was the lowest in Guangshan County.(4)Xinxian County needs to focus on preventing low-temperature and rainy disasters during the flowering stage.In addition to Xinxian County,low-temperature and rainy disasters dur-ing the flowering stage,low-temperature disasters during the young fruit stage,and rainy disasters during the fruit ripening stage all showed a north-to-south trend.The frequency of drought disasters during the peak period of fruit expansion was relatively high in the central and southern regions of the main producing areas of camellia oleifera.High-temperature disasters during the oil con-version and accumulation stage occurred only in extreme years in each county in 2022.(5)The northern region of the main pro-ducing areas of camellia oleifera in Henan Province needs to be protected against low-temperature and rainy disasters,the moun-tainous areas need to be protected against low-temperature disasters,and the central and southern regions need to be protected a-gainst high-temperature disasters.

Camellia oleiferaMeteorological disastersChange patternHenan Province

庄若南、张占魁、王梦旖

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中国气象局/河南省农业气象保障与应用技术重点实验室,河南 郑州 450003

信阳市气象局,河南 信阳 464000

油茶 气象灾害 变化规律 河南省

2024

辽宁农业科学
辽宁省农业科学院 辽宁省农学会

辽宁农业科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.376
ISSN:1002-1728
年,卷(期):2024.(6)