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近53a辽河流域旱涝灾害的时空特征

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针对气候变化背景下辽河流域旱涝事件的频繁发生,以国家气象中心提供的地面降水日值数据集V3.0为基础数据,采用Z指数法表征旱涝事件,并应用集合经验模态分解法(EEMD)分析了辽河流域1968-2020年逐年、逐生长季的旱涝事件分布特征及其周期性规律,结果表明:①辽河流域近53 a中发生旱涝事件的灾害年份约占总时间序列的2/3以上,集中发生于上世纪80、90年代中后期及本世纪00年代.②近53 a中,重度干旱或洪涝事件均以流域东南部的河流下游及入海口区域最为严重,流域东南部的旱涝程度反差最为强烈.③对于辽河流域范围的旱涝事件来说,周期特征以短时高频振荡为主,年代际尺度的波动对于周期规律的贡献率相对较低.
Spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and flood disasters in Liaohe River basin in recent 53 years
In view of the frequent occurrence of drought and flood events in the Liaohe River basin un-der the background of climate change,the Z-index method was used to characterize the drought and flood events based on the daily surface precipitation data set V3.0 provided by the National Meteoro-logical Center.The combined empirical mode decomposition method(EEMD)was used to analyze the distribution characteristics and periodicity of drought and flood events in the Liaohe River basin from 1968 to 2020.The results show that:①Drought and flood events occurred in the Liaohe River basin in the past 53 years,accounting for more than 2/3 of the total time series,concentrated in the 1980s,the middle and late 1990s and the 2000s.②In the past 53 years,severe drought or flood e-vents were most serious in the lower reaches of the river and the estuary area in the southeastern part of the river basin,waterlogging was the most serious in the eastern mountainous area of the river ba-sin,and the phenomena of drought and waterlogging were milder in the middle and lower reaches of the Liaohe River basin.The contrast of drought and flood degree is the strongest in the southeast of the basin.③For the drought and flood events in the Liaohe River basin,the periodic characteristics are mainly short-time and high-frequency oscillations,and the contribution rate of decadal scale fluc-tuations to the periodic rule is relatively low.

Liaohe River basindrought and flood eventsensemble empirical mode decompositiondisaster frequency

王岚、于淼

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辽宁师范大学地理科学学院,辽宁大连 116029

辽河流域 旱涝事件 EEMD 灾害频次

国家自然科学基金资助项目辽宁省教育厅青年项目

41271064L201783640

2024

辽宁师范大学学报(自然科学版)
辽宁师范大学

辽宁师范大学学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.491
ISSN:1000-1735
年,卷(期):2024.47(2)