首页|1961-2023年贵阳市极端降水气候事件变化特征研究

1961-2023年贵阳市极端降水气候事件变化特征研究

Study on the Characteristics of Extreme Precipitation Climate Events in Guiyang From 1961 to 2023

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基于 1961-2023 年贵阳国家基准气候站降水观测日数据,选取四组共 8 个降水极端指数,对贵阳极端降水气候事件的时间变化趋势进行了分析,结果表明:①极端降水气候事件总体呈增长趋势,其中 RX1day、SDII、R50mm、R95p、R99p 均逐年增加,CDD、CWD 逐年减弱;②RX1day 和 R20mm 在1986 年和 1989 年发生明显突变;SDII、R95p和 R99p分别在 1982 年、1997 年和 1990 年突变,但突变不明显;③CDD、RX1day、SDII、R50mm、R95p和 R99p在 20 世纪 90 年代和 21 世纪 10 年代的平均值明显高于其他年代;CWD和R20mm在 21 世纪 10 年代的平均值也高于 20 世纪 10 年代;④21 世纪 10年代以来贵阳极端降水强度有所增强,RX1day、SDII、R20mm、R50mm、R95p 的最大值均出现 2014-2020 年.
Based on the precipitation observation day data of Guiyang National Benchmark Climate Station from 1961 to 2023,four sets of 8 precipitation extreme indices were selected to analyze the temporal trend of extreme precipitation climate events in Guiyang.The results showed that:① Extreme precipitation climate events showed an overall increasing trend,with RX1day,SDII,R50mm,R95p,and R99p increasing year by year,while CDD and CWD decreasing year by year.②RX1day and R20mm underwent significant mutations in 1986 and 1989;SDII,R95p,and R99p mutated in 1982,1997,and 1990 respectively,but the mutations were not significant.③The aver-age values of CDD,RX1day,SDII,R50mm,R95p,and R99p in the 1990s and 2010s were significantly higher than those in other eras;The average values of CWD and R20mm in the 2010s were also higher than those in the first decade of the 20th century since the 2010s.④The extreme precipitation intensity in Guiyang has increased,with the maximum values of RX1day,SDII,R20mm,R50mm,and R95p appearing from 2014 to 2020.

extreme precipitationchanging trendGuiyang

张杰、田孟勤、沈扬迪、严江、梁超

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花溪区气象局,贵州 贵阳 550025

贵阳市气象局,贵州 贵阳 550001

极端降水 变化趋势 贵阳

2024

绿色科技
花木盆景杂志社

绿色科技

影响因子:0.365
ISSN:1674-9944
年,卷(期):2024.26(14)
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