首页|1961-2023年贵阳市极端降水气候事件变化特征研究

1961-2023年贵阳市极端降水气候事件变化特征研究

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基于 1961-2023 年贵阳国家基准气候站降水观测日数据,选取四组共 8 个降水极端指数,对贵阳极端降水气候事件的时间变化趋势进行了分析,结果表明:①极端降水气候事件总体呈增长趋势,其中 RX1day、SDII、R50mm、R95p、R99p 均逐年增加,CDD、CWD 逐年减弱;②RX1day 和 R20mm 在1986 年和 1989 年发生明显突变;SDII、R95p和 R99p分别在 1982 年、1997 年和 1990 年突变,但突变不明显;③CDD、RX1day、SDII、R50mm、R95p和 R99p在 20 世纪 90 年代和 21 世纪 10 年代的平均值明显高于其他年代;CWD和R20mm在 21 世纪 10 年代的平均值也高于 20 世纪 10 年代;④21 世纪 10年代以来贵阳极端降水强度有所增强,RX1day、SDII、R20mm、R50mm、R95p 的最大值均出现 2014-2020 年。
Study on the Characteristics of Extreme Precipitation Climate Events in Guiyang From 1961 to 2023
Based on the precipitation observation day data of Guiyang National Benchmark Climate Station from 1961 to 2023,four sets of 8 precipitation extreme indices were selected to analyze the temporal trend of extreme precipitation climate events in Guiyang.The results showed that:① Extreme precipitation climate events showed an overall increasing trend,with RX1day,SDII,R50mm,R95p,and R99p increasing year by year,while CDD and CWD decreasing year by year.②RX1day and R20mm underwent significant mutations in 1986 and 1989;SDII,R95p,and R99p mutated in 1982,1997,and 1990 respectively,but the mutations were not significant.③The aver-age values of CDD,RX1day,SDII,R50mm,R95p,and R99p in the 1990s and 2010s were significantly higher than those in other eras;The average values of CWD and R20mm in the 2010s were also higher than those in the first decade of the 20th century since the 2010s.④The extreme precipitation intensity in Guiyang has increased,with the maximum values of RX1day,SDII,R20mm,R50mm,and R95p appearing from 2014 to 2020.

extreme precipitationchanging trendGuiyang

张杰、田孟勤、沈扬迪、严江、梁超

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花溪区气象局,贵州 贵阳 550025

贵阳市气象局,贵州 贵阳 550001

极端降水 变化趋势 贵阳

2024

绿色科技
花木盆景杂志社

绿色科技

影响因子:0.365
ISSN:1674-9944
年,卷(期):2024.26(14)
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