首页|基于InVEST-PLUS模型的昆明市土地利用变化与碳储量时空演变研究

基于InVEST-PLUS模型的昆明市土地利用变化与碳储量时空演变研究

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土地利用对陆地生态系统中CO2的影响仅次于化石能源燃烧。基于昆明市2000年、2010年、2020年三期土地利用数据,利用PLUS模型预测2060年多情景土地利用情况,再结合InVEST模型得到碳储量时空分布情况,最后运用Moran's I指数和Getis-Ord Gi*分析格网尺度下碳储量时空分布特征。结果表明:①2000-2020年,昆明市土地利用变化表现出建设用地面积扩张,生态地类呈不同程度萎缩的特点,未来的不同情景下土地利用情况存在差异;②2020-2020年昆明市碳储总量减少了98。5× 104t,2060年不同发展情境下的碳储量较于2020年均呈现减少趋势,且昆明市各区的碳储量高低与土地利用变化剧烈程度具有关联性;③昆明市碳储量空间分布上表现出一定的聚集现象,形成高值往北,低值以南;低值集聚区围绕滇池向四周扩张的结构分布特点。
Spatiotemporal Evolution of Carbon Stock From Land Use Changes in Kunming Based on In VEST-PLUS Model
The impact of land use on CO2 in terrestrial ecosystems is second only to fossil fuel combustion.Based on the land use data of Kunming City from 2000 to 2020,this paper uses the PLUS model to predict the land use situation in 2060,and then combines the InVEST model to obtain the spatial and temporal distribution of carbon storage,and finally uses the Moran's I index and Getis-Ord Gi*to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of carbon storage at the grid scale.The results showed that:① From 2000 to 2020,the land use change in Kunming City showed the characteristics of"the expansion of construction land area and the shrinkage of ecological land types to varying degrees",and there were differences in land use under different scenarios in the future.② From 2020 to 2020,the total carbon storage in Kunming City decreased by 98.5 × 104t,and the carbon storage under different development scenarios in 2060 showed a decreasing trend compared with 2020,and the carbon storage in each district of Kunming City was correlated with the drastic land use changes.③ The spatial distribution of carbon storage in Kunming City shows a certain aggregation phenomenon,forming the structural distribution characteristics of"high value to the north and low value to the south"and"low value agglomeration area to the surrounding areas around Dianchi".

land use changescarbon storagePLUS modelInVEST modelKunming City

柯佳兰、贺一梅、杨诗琴

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云南财经大学国土资源与持续发展研究所,云南 昆明 650221

云南财经大学旅游与酒店管理学院,云南昆明 650221

土地利用变化 碳储量 PLUS模型 InVEST模型 昆明市

2024

绿色科技
花木盆景杂志社

绿色科技

影响因子:0.365
ISSN:1674-9944
年,卷(期):2024.26(15)