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西宁市人口城镇化与基本公共服务协调发展水平测度研究

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探究西宁市人口城镇化与基本公共服务协调发展水平,诊断影响其障碍因子,能够为西宁市新型城镇化建设提供参考和理论依据,以西宁市为研究对象,运用CRITIC赋权法和耦合协调度模型,计算近10年来西宁市人口城镇化与基本公共服务两大系统的综合指数以及二者之间的耦合度和协调度.并引入障碍度模型,探讨影响人口城镇化与基本公共服务的驱动因素.结果表明:2010-2020年西宁市人口城镇化水平呈现先上升后下降的趋势,基本公共服务发展水平呈现缓慢上升趋势,二者之间耦合协调度在2010-2017年呈正相关性,2017-2020年呈负相关性.度过2010年濒临失调的过渡期后,近10年两大系统均处于协调阶段,并在中级协调和良好协调之间徘徊.通过障碍因子诊断发现,西宁市人口城镇化与基本公共服务发展水平的影响因素经历了由起初的产业结构、经济生活占主导转变为教育事业、社会保障占主导,再到产业结构、教育水平占主导的变化趋势.在西宁市未来的城镇化建设过程中应继续提升基本公共服务水平,跟上人口城镇化发展的步伐,使得二者相互平衡,从而达到城市可持续发展的目标.因地制宜优化西宁市产业结构,落实基本教育建设,提升各项服务设施的供给水平,重点关注社会保障与就业工作的实施情况,从而提升居民生活质量,促进人口城镇化与基本公共服务步入高级协调阶段.
Research on Measuring the Coordinated Development Level of Population Urbanization and Basic Public Services in Xining City
Exploring the level of coordinated development between population urbanization and basic public serv-ices in Xining City and diagnosing the influencing factors,can provide a reference and theoretical basis for the construction of new urbanization in Xining City.This study takes Xining City as the research object,uses CRITIC weighting method and coupling coordination model to calculate the comprehensive index of population urbaniza-tion and basic public services in Xining City in the past decade,as well as the coupling and coordination degree between the two systems.An obstacle model is introduced to explore the driving factors affecting population ur-banization and basic public services.The research results indicate that from 2010 to 2020,the urbanization level of population in Xining City showed a trend of first increasing and then decreasing,while the development level of basic public services showed a slow upward trend.The coupling coordination degree between the two showed a positive correlation from 2010 to 2017,and a negative correlation from 2017 to 2020.After the transitional period of approaching imbalance in 2010,both major systems have been in the coordination stage for the past decade,hovering between intermediate coordination and good coordination.Through obstacle factor diagnosis,it was found that the influencing factors of population urbanization and the development level of basic public services in Xining City have gone through a changing trend from initially dominated by industrial structure and economic life to dominated by education and social security,and then to dominated by industrial structure and education level.In the future urbanization construction process of Xining City,it is necessary to continue to improve the level of basic public services,keep up with the pace of population urbanization development,balance the two,and achieve the goal of sustainable urban development.The industrial structure of Xining City should be optimized according to local conditions;basic education construction should be implemented;the supply level of various service facili-ties should be improved;the implementation of social security and employment work should be concentrated,thereby improving the quality of life of residents,promoting population urbanization and basic public services to enter the advanced coordination stage.

population urbanizationbasic public servicescoupling coordination

赵发兰、陈舒

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青海大学土木水利学院,青海西宁 810016

人口城镇化 基本公共服务 耦合协调

2024

绿色科技
花木盆景杂志社

绿色科技

影响因子:0.365
ISSN:1674-9944
年,卷(期):2024.26(17)