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湖南省2000-2018年森林火灾时空分布特征及气象关联性

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森林火灾是森林生态系统的重要干扰因子,对森林结构与功能、生态安全和社会经济发展产生严重影响。以湖南省2000-2018年森林火灾和气象数据为基础,采用方差分析、相关分析等方法对湖南省不同年份、季节、月份、时间段、区域、市州的森林火灾特征及气象关联性进行分析。结果表明:2000-2018年湖南省发生森林火灾总次数为8437次,呈现先增后减再趋于平稳的态势;防火期(10月份至次年4月份)与非防火期的森林火灾次数存在显著差异(P<0。05),且春季和冬季为高峰期;森林火灾发生时间主要集中于13:00-18:00,且湘中和湘南地区,尤其是郴州市、邵阳市、株洲市、永州市为高发区域;森林火灾发生频率与月平均温度、月平均最高气温、月平均最低气温存在显著关联(P<0。05),且随温度的升高呈增-减-增的趋势,但火灾发生频率与月总降雨量、月平均风速无明显关联。研究成果可为湖南省林火管理和森林防火工程建设提供科学依据,对防火资源的合理分配和防火策略的制定提供参考。
Temporal and Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Meteorological Correlation of Forest Fires in Hunan Province From 2000 to 2018
Forest fires are significant disturbance factors in forest ecosystems,severely impacting forest structures and functions,ecological security,and socio-economic development.Based on forest fire and meteorological data from Hunan Province from 2000 to 2018,variance analysis and correlation analysis methods were used to analyze the characteristics of forest fires and their meteorological correlations across different years,seasons,months,time periods,regions,and cities in Hunan Province.The results show that the total number of forest fires in Hunan Province from 2000 to 2018 was 8437,exhibiting a trend of initially increasing,then decreasing,and finally stabi-lizing.There was a significant difference in the number of forest fires between the fire prevention period(October to April)and the non-fire prevention period(P<0.05),with peaks in spring and winter.Forest fires mainly oc-curred between 13:00 and 18:00,with the central and southern regions of Hunan,especially Chenzhou,Shaoyang,Zhuzhou,and Yongzhou,being high-incidence areas.The frequency of forest fires was significantly correlated with monthly average temperature,monthly average maximum temperature,and monthly average minimum tem-perature(P<0.05),showing an increase-decrease-increase trend with rising temperatures.However,there was no significant correlation between fire frequency and monthly total rainfall or monthly average wind speed.The re-search findings provide a scientific basis for forest fire management and fire prevention engineering construction in Hunan Province,offering references for the rational allocation of fire prevention resources and the formulation of fire prevention strategies.

forest firesspatiotemporal distributioninfluencing factorsmeteorological factorsHunan Province

肖化顺、龙时胜、吴小群

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中南林业科技大学,湖南 长沙 410014

国家林业和草原局林草调查规划院,北京 100013

森林火灾 时空分布 影响因素 气象因子 湖南省

2024

绿色科技
花木盆景杂志社

绿色科技

影响因子:0.365
ISSN:1674-9944
年,卷(期):2024.26(21)