首页|政府主导型国家储备林PPP运行模式演化博弈分析——以贵州毕节为例

政府主导型国家储备林PPP运行模式演化博弈分析——以贵州毕节为例

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以贵州毕节为例,构建地方政府、国有企业和农业合作社三方共同参与的演化博弈模型,探究政府主导下各方主体协同合作的内在机理.结果表明:(1)国有企业积极合作的概率与政府的监管力度相关,提高政府的初始参与意愿更能有效促进项目顺利实施;(2)只有当上级政府的奖惩力度大于对国有企业的投机处罚时,地方政府选择积极参与的概率才与初始意愿正向变动;(3)公共预算支出的差异是地方政府作出决策的主要考量指标之一;(4)提高国有企业积极合作的概率需要从加强政府行政监管和提高企业责任意识 2 个角度展开.据此,为促进政府主导型国家储备林PPP项目可持续发展,提出了提高项目经济效益、完善多层次奖惩机制、多措并举提高国有企业积极性等政策建议.
An Evolutionary Game of PPP Operation Mode of Government-dominated National Reserve Forest—A Case Study of Bijie,Guizhou Province
⑴Background——China's national reserve forest construction has achieved remarkable comprehensive results,and has become an important strategic project in China,but its development faces financing difficulties,insufficient social capital investment and other problems.In order to solve these problems,Public-Private Part-nership(PPP)has become an important operation mode of China's national reserve forest construction.Howev-er,the PPP operation mode dominated by the government is faced with problems such as the increasing financial burden of the government and the lack of enthusiasm of social capital.How to promote the healthy operation of the PPP operationmodel is a practical problem worth exploring.⑵ Methods——Based on the analysis of the significant characteristics of the PPP operation mode of the national reserve forest construction in Bijie,Guizhou Province,this paper put forward the basic hypotheses,and took the PPP operation mode of the national reserve forest construction in Bijie,Guizhou Province as an example to build an evolutionary game model involving the local governments,state-owned enterprises and agricultural co-operatives,and explore the internal mechanism of the tripartite cooperation under the domination of the govern-ments.⑶ Results——First,the degree of importance and participation of the state-owned enterprises in the pro-ject is mainly related to the participation of the governments.When the superior governments participate in the project with strong reward and punishment mechanism and the local governments participate in the project with strong supervision,the state-owned enterprises are more inclined to actively participate in the projectconstruc-tion,and the agricultural cooperatives also have the motivation to participate.Second,when the rewards and punishments of the superior governmentsare less than the punishments of the state-owned enterprises for specula-tion,the probability of the local governments to choose to actively participate changes in the reverse direction of the initial willingness,and their enthusiasm decrease significantly.Only when the rewards and punishments are strong enough can the enthusiasm of the local governments be mobilized.Third,public budget expenditure is one of the main reference indicators for the local governments decision-making.Only when active participation in the project can alleviate financial pressure and save financial expenditure,the local governments will choose to par-ticipate actively.Fourth,the political pressure of the local governments and the interest replacement of the state-owned enterprises will make the state-owned enterprises tend to choose the strategy of active cooperation.⑷Conclusions and Discussions——According to the above research conclusions and the practices of na-tional reserve forest construction,the following policy suggestions are put forward:First,strengthen the guidance and supervision of policies,improve the economic and social benefits of national reserve forest,and reduce the future financial budget expenditure of the local governments.Second,formulate the differentiated,diversified and multi-level reward and punishment mechanisms to improve the willingness of all parties to participate in the pro-ject construction.Third,improve the enthusiasm of the state-owned enterprises to participate in the projects.On one hand,the local governments should strengthen supervision and management,and improve technical,person-nel and financial support.On the other hand,guide the state-owned enterprises to raise their awareness of social responsibility,and promote the state-owned enterprises to participate in the construction of hometown forestry projects and the development of national forestry industry.

government-dominatednational reserve forest PPPoperation modeevolutionary game analysis

凌仕全、胡超、董加云

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南京林业大学 经济管理学院,南京 210037

政府主导型 国家储备林PPP 运行模式 演化博弈分析

2024

林业经济问题
福建农林大学,中国林业经济学会

林业经济问题

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.732
ISSN:1005-9709
年,卷(期):2024.44(6)