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浙江省数字经济与林业产业融合发展水平测度及影响因素

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[目的]分析浙江省 11个地级市数字经济与林业产业融合(简称数林融合)发展水平、空间分布特征、构成要素及其外部影响因素,明确数林融合机制,为推动中国林业产业高质量发展提供科学依据.[方法]从数字基础设置、数字业务规模、数字技术创新 3个维度构建数字经济发展水平评价指标体系,从规模、结构、效率 3个维度构建林业产业发展水平指标体系,基于 2015-2021年浙江省 11个地级市的面板数据,采用熵值法、耦合协调度模型、莫兰指数空间分析等方法,对数林融合发展水平、时间演变、区域差异和空间分布进行测度,构建面板数据模型探究影响浙江省数林融合发展水平的主要因素.[结果]1)浙江省11个地级市数林融合发展水平较低,且存在逐年下降趋势;2)浙江省大部分地级市数林融合发展水平空间分布差异明显,各地级市存在负向或正向相关性特征;3)农村居民每百户计算机数量和农村居民每百户移动电话数量与数林融合发展水平关联度最强;4)地区人均生产总值和交通便利度对推动数林融合发展水平具有显著负向作用,数字经济指数对数林融合发展水平具有显著正向作用.[结论]2015-2021年浙江省 11个地级市数林融合发展水平呈逐年下降趋势,且其空间变化特征不显著,数字经济各构成要素和外部因素在不同方向和程度上影响数林融合发展水平.因浙江省需要高度重视数林融合发展,率先打造全国数字赋能林业产业高质量发展示范高地.
Measurement and Influencing Factors of the Level of Integrated Development of Digital Economy and Forestry Industry in Zhejiang Province
[Objective]By studying the level of integrated development of digital economy and forestry industry in 11 prefectural-level cities in Zhejiang Province,its spatial distribution characteristics,components and their external influencing factors,the integration mechanism of digital economy and forestry industry could be clarified to provide scientific basis for promoting the high-quality development of forestry industry in China.[Method]The evaluation index system of development level of digital economy is constructed from three dimensions of digital infrastructure,digital business scale,and digital technology innovation,and the index system of forestry industry development level is constructed from three dimensions of scale,structure,and efficiency.The panel data of 11 prefectural-level cities in Zhejiang Province from 2015 to 2021 is collected,and the entropy method,the coupled coordination model,the spatial analysis of the Moran index are applied to measure the integrated development level of the digital economy and the forestry industry,time evolution,regional differences and spatial distribution,and the panel data model is constructed to explore the main external factors affecting the development level.[Result]1)The integrated development level of digital economy and forestry industry in 11 prefectural level cities in Zhejiang Province is relatively low,and there is an annual declining trend.2)The spatial distribution of the integrated development level in most prefectural level cities in Zhejiang Province varies significantly,and there are negative or positive correlation characteristics in neighboring prefectural level cities.3)The number of computers per 100 households of rural residents and the number of owned mobile telephones per 100 rural residents have the strongest correlation with the integrated development level.4)Regional per capita GDP and traffic convenience have a significant negative effect on promoting the integrated development of digital economy and forestry industry,and the digital economy index has a significant positive effect on the integrated development level.[Conclusion]The integrated development level of digital economy and forestry industry in 11 prefectural level cities in Zhejiang Province from 2015 to 2021 shows a downward trend with no obvious spatial variations characteristics,and the various components of the digital economy and external factors affect the integration development level of digital economy and forestry industry in different directions and degrees.Therefore,Zhejiang Province needs to attach great importance to the integrated development of digital economy and forestry industry,and take the lead in creating a demonstration highland for high-quality development of the forestry industry empowered by digitization.

digital economyforestry industryintegrated developmentZhejiang

翟郡、杨红强、徐彩瑶、孔凡斌

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南京林业大学数字林业与绿色发展研究院/经济管理学院 南京 210037

浙江农林大学浙江省乡村振兴研究院/"千万工程"研究院/经济管理学院 杭州 311300

数字经济 林业产业 融合发展 浙江

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金江苏省社会科学基金青年项目中国博士后科学基金面上项目(第七十三批)

7220309542301328423712944207128322EYC0072023M731710

2024

林业科学
中国林学会

林业科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.272
ISSN:1001-7488
年,卷(期):2024.60(5)
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