首页|"996"还是"2.5"?——闲暇时间影响经济增长的跨国实证研究

"996"还是"2.5"?——闲暇时间影响经济增长的跨国实证研究

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近年来,社会上掀起了"996工作制"和"2.5天小长假"的激烈讨论.为了避免价值判断,文章在文献梳理和理论演绎的基础上,利用41个较大规模国家的面板数据,检验了闲暇数量和质量对经济增长的影响,按经济发展水平和文化地理特征分别对样本国家分组并进行异质性分析.研究结果显示:闲暇时间与经济增长之间存在一定的非线性特征,闲暇时间比例在0.6608至0.6855区间下经济增长率明显较高;整体而言,人力资本对闲暇时间与经济增长的关系存在显著的正向调节作用,数量闲暇一旦与人力资本相结合(即质量闲暇)很可能促进经济增长.研究结果对我国的政策含义是:既不"996"也不"2.5",保持闲暇时间比例不变,减少工作时间比例而增加教育时间比例,既能提升人力资本直接推动经济增长,又能通过人力资本改善闲暇质量从而间接推动经济增长.
"996"or"2.5"?A Transnational Empirical Study on the Impact of Leisure Time on Economic Growth
Balancing work time and leisure time has always been a hot topic.In recent years,there have been heated debates on"996 working system"and"2.5-day mini-vacation"in China.In order to allocate working time and leisure time scientifically and reasonably,it is vital to explore the relationship between leisure time and economic growth.However,most of the existing literature on the relationship between leisure time and economic growth is theoretical,with few empirical studies.Furthermore,these empirical studies are either single-country or comparative analyses of two countries.Additionally,the only multi-country analysis has an unrepresentative sample size.Therefore,this paper explores the relationship between leisure time and economic growth based on panel data for 41 countries.This paper has three research objectives.First,it attempts to address the lack of sample representativeness in the existing literature to enrich research in the field,as it utilizes the most extensive cross-country sample to date.Second,it explores the impact of the quantity and quality of leisure on economic growth.Third,it examines the relationship between leisure time and economic development across different types of countries.To this end,this paper first analyses the effects of leisure time quantity and quality on economic growth using feasible generalized least squares(FGLS)and panel-corrected standard error(PCSE)methods,respectively,based on the full sample.Next,the samples are divided based on economic development and cultural-geographical characteristics for heterogeneity analysis.The results demonstrate a specific nonlinear relationship between leisure time and economic growth,with a U-shaped trend overall.Economic growth was significantly higher when leisure time accounted for 0.6608 to 0.6855.Furthermore,the impact of leisure time on economic growth differed across countries with varying development levels and cultures.Additionally,human capital positively moderates the relationship between leisure time and economic growth,indicating that quantitative leisure may promote economic growth when combined with human capital.Based on these findings,some policy implications are provided.In the long term,countries could gradually adjust their time share of leisure to the optimal range:0.6608 to 0.6855.Regarding leisure quality,governments should increase education time to improve human capital.For China,it is not appropriate to implement"996 working system"or"2.5-day mini-vacation",maintaining an existing leisure time ratio while reducing working hours to increase education time could improve human capital to directly and indirectly(through enhanced leisure quality)promote economic growth.

leisure timeeconomic growthnonlinearityhuman capitalmoderating effect

罗浩、康玉洁、曾小梅

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中山大学管理学院,广东广州 501275

闲暇时间 经济增长 非线性 人力资本 调节作用

国家自然科学基金

71874212

2024

旅游学刊
北京联合大学旅游学院

旅游学刊

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.013
ISSN:1002-5006
年,卷(期):2024.39(1)
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