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Pitfalls in forest carbon sink projection

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Pitfalls in forest carbon sink projection
Global forests are increasingly crucial for achiev-ing net-zero carbon emissions,with a quarter of the miti-gation efforts under the Paris Climate Agreement directed towards forests.In China,forests currently contribute to 13％of the global land's carbon sink,but their stability and per-sistence remain uncertain.We examined and identified that published studies suffered from oversimplifications of eco-system succession and tree demographic dynamics,as well as poor constraints on land quality.Consequently,substan-tial estimations might have been suffered from underrepre-sented or ignored crucial factors,including tree demographic dynamics,and disturbances and habitat shifts caused by global climate change.We argue that these essential factors should be considered to enhance the reliability and accuracy of assessments of the potential for forest carbon sinks.

Forest carbonCarbon sinkForest ageLand suitabilityForest demographic

Yanli Dong、Zhen Yu、Evgenios Agathokleous、Guoyi Zhou、Shirong Liu、Yu Lei

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Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters(CIC-FEMD),Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,People's Republic of China

Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Carbon Source and Sink,China Meteorological Administration(ECSS-CMA),Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,People's Republic of China

Institute of Ecology and School of Ecology Applied Meteorology,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology

Key Laboratory of Forest Ecology and Environment,China's National Forestry and Grassland Administration,Institute of Forest Ecology,Environment and Protection,Chinese Academy of Forestry,Beijing 100091,People's Republic of China

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Forest carbon Carbon sink Forest age Land suitability Forest demographic

2024

10.1007/s11676-024-01738-2

林业研究(英文版)
东北林业大学,中国生态学学会

林业研究(英文版)

CSTPCDEI
影响因子：0.365
ISSN：1007-662X
年,卷(期)：2024.35(6)