The Employment Effects of Green Development under the"Dual Carbon"Goals:An Empirical Analysis of 30 Provinces,Districts and Municipalities in China
Under the"Dual Carbon"goals,how to promote green development and increase employment is an important issue worth studying.Based on the provincial panel data of China from 2007 to 2021,the present paper analyzes the spatio-temporal evolution trend of green development level and employment scale to deeply explore the impact of green development on employment scale and its mechanism by using panel two-way fixed effects,mediating effects and threshold effect models.The results indicate that the green devel-opment level and employment scale in China present a spatial structure extending from the eastern coastal regions to the central and western regions;green development can significantly promote the employment scale heterogeneously,with more significant effect in the eastern region and the regions dominated by the tertiary industry;and green development can further expand employment scale through industrial structure upgrading.Therefore,to effectively leverage the role of upgrading industrial structure in expanding em-ployment scale for high-quality economic development,it is necessary to improve the green and low-carbon transition policy system,promote coordinated regional development by adopting dynamic and differentiated green development strategies,and alleviating the misallocation of labor market via labor skill upgrading.
green developmentemployment scaleindustrial structuremediating effectthreshold effect