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职业技能培训影响劳动力失业风险的代际差异分析

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文章基于中国综合社会调查(CGSS)2013年、2015年、2017年和2019年四期调查数据构建的混合截面数据,实证分析职业技能培训对70后、80后和90后劳动力失业风险的影响效应.研究表明:劳动力职业技能培训普及率较低,且代际差异显著,有超过一半的劳动力没有参加职业技能培训,年轻一代劳动力参加职业技能培训的比例较高;劳动力潜在的失业风险较高、且代际差异显著,平均有23.7%的劳动力有失业风险,70后劳动力失业风险较大,80后劳动力失业风险较小,90后劳动力失业风险居中;职业技能培训对70后劳动力失业风险的保护效应最大,对90后劳动力失业风险的保护效应最小,对80后劳动力失业风险的保护效应次之;劳动力失业风险具有显著的异质性特点,男性、受教育程度较低、工作经验较少、没有签订劳动合同的劳动力,失业风险更大.政策启示是:加强劳动力的职业技能培训,尤其是加强对男性、受教育程度较低和工作经验缺乏且年龄较大劳动力的职业技能培训,能够达到事半功倍的失业风险治理效果.同时,政府有关部门规范企业用工制度,提高劳动合同签订率,也能有效降低劳动力的失业风险.
Study on the Intergenerational Differences in the Impact of Vocational Skills Training on Workforce Unemployment Risk
Based on the mixed cross-section data of China General Social Survey(CGSS)in 2013,2015,2017 and 2019,this paper empirically analyzes the impact of vocational skills training on the unemployment risk of the post-70s,80s and 90s labor force.The research shows that:the penetration rate of vocational skills training is low,and the difference between generations is significant.More than half of the labor force did not participate in vocational skills training,and the proportion of the young generation participate in vocational skills training is relatively high;The potential unemployment risk of the labor force is high,and the difference between generations is significant.On average,23.7%of the labor force has the risk of unemployment,the post-70s labor force has the risk of unemployment,the post-80s labor force has the risk of unemployment,and the post-90s labor force has the risk of unemployment.The protection effect of vocational skills training on the unemployment risk of the post-70s labor force is the largest,the protection effect on the unemployment risk of the post-90s labor force is the least,and the protection effect on the unemployment risk of the post-80s labor force is the second.The unemployment risk of the labor force is significantly heterogeneous,and the risk of unemployment is greater for the male labor force,the labor force with lower education level,less work experience and no labor contract.The policy implication is:strengthening the vocational skills training of the labor force,especially strengthening the vocational skills training of male,less educated,less experienced and older labor force,can achieve the effect of unemployment risk management.At the same time,the relevant government departments regulate the employment system of enterprises and improve the labor contract signing rate,which can also effectively reduce the risk of unemployment.

vocational skill traininglabor unemployment riskintergenerational difference

于长永、喻贞、叶贝、拜茹

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中南财经政法大学公共管理学院医疗保险研究所

浙江财经大学金融学院

河南科技大学应用工程学院

职业技能培训 劳动力失业风险 代际差异

国家社会科学基金青年项目

20CYJ014

2024

兰州学刊
兰州市社会科学院 兰州市社会科学界联合会

兰州学刊

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.401
ISSN:1005-3492
年,卷(期):2024.(7)
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