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城镇聚乙烯燃气管道失效可能性评估模型

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采用半定量评估法对聚乙烯燃气管道失效可能性进行评估,结合聚乙烯燃气管道特点,考虑第三方破坏、管道固有危害、管道腐蚀危害、管理不到位危害、服役环境5个因素,建立了聚乙烯燃气管道失效可能性评估模型.根据层次分析法确定失效可能性评估模型的权重计算方法,得出各因素的权重,并进行一致性检验.对某地3个聚乙烯燃气管段失效可能性进行了评估,得出的结果与实际情况吻合度较高.
Evaluation Model for Failure Possibility of Urban Polyethylene Gas Pipeline
The semi-quantitative evaluation method was used to evaluate the failure possibility of polyethylene gas pipeline.Combined with the charac-teristics of polyethylene gas pipeline,an evaluation model for failure possibility of polyethylene gas pipeline was established by considering five factors:third-party damage,inherent hazards of pipeline,corrosion hazards of pipeline,inadequate management hazards and serv-ice environment.The weight calculation method of the failure possibility evaluation model was determined by the analytic hierarchy process,the weights of each fac-tor were obtained,and the consistency test was carried out.The failure possibility of three polyethylene gas pipeline sections in a certain area was evaluated,and the results obtained were highly consistent with the ac-tual situation.

polyethylene(PE)pipelineur-ban gas pipelinefailure possibilityanalytic hierarchy process

薛庆、毕逢东、贺永利、王凡

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昆仑能源有限公司,北京 100101

中国石油天然气销售公司,北京 100101

聚乙烯管道 城镇燃气管道 失效可能性 层次分析法

2024

煤气与热力
中国市政工程华北设计研究院 建设部沈阳煤气热力研究设计院 北京市煤气热力工程设计院有限公司

煤气与热力

影响因子:0.559
ISSN:1000-4416
年,卷(期):2024.44(9)
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