煤炭经济研究2024,Vol.44Issue(1) :129-140.

中国煤化工行业低碳转型路径优化研究

Research onoptimum low-carbon transition pathway for China's coal chemical industry

戴盈 余碧莹 杨星义 陈景明
煤炭经济研究2024,Vol.44Issue(1) :129-140.

中国煤化工行业低碳转型路径优化研究

Research onoptimum low-carbon transition pathway for China's coal chemical industry

戴盈 1余碧莹 1杨星义 1陈景明2
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作者信息

  • 1. 北京理工大学能源与环境政策研究中心,北京 100081
  • 2. 中国机电设备招标中心(工业和信息化部政府采购中心),北京 100142
  • 折叠

摘要

针对当前缺乏煤化工行业低碳转型路径相关研究,且未综合考虑多种生产方式、常规绿色技术与突破性绿色技术等的不足,以满足未来产品需求为约束,在综合考虑政策规划、技术进步和经济可行性等因素基础上,建立了国家能源技术煤化工模型(C3IAM/NET-Coal Chemical),以成本最小为目标,对未来煤化工行业低碳转型路径进行优化,并分析了其能耗及CO2排放.结果表明,同时推广大型煤气化技术、低压甲醇合成技术等常规绿色技术和CCS技术、绿氢与CO2制烯烃技术等突破性绿色技术是煤化工行业最优的低碳转型路径.

Abstract

There is a lack of research related to the low-carbon transition path of the coal chemical industry,and the existing research does not take into account a variety of production methods,conventional green technologies and breakthrough green technologies.Therefore,this paper establishes the National Energy Technology Coal Chemical Model(C3 IAM/NET-Coal Chemical)based on the constraints of meeting future product demand and the comprehensive consideration of factors such as policy planning,technological progress and economic feasibility.The model optimizes the low-carbon transition path of the future coal chemical industry with the goal of cost minimization,and analyzes its energy consumption and CO2 emissions.The results show that the simultaneous promotion of conventional green technologies,such as large-scale coal gasification technology and low-pressure methanol synthesis technology,and breakthrough green technologies,such as CCS technology and green hydrogen and CO2 to olefin technology,is the optimal low-carbon transition path for the coal chemical industry.

关键词

煤化工行业/能源技术优化建模/低碳转型路径/CO2排放/能源消耗

Key words

coal chemical industry/modeling for energy technology optimization/low carbon transition pathway/C02 emissions/energy consumption

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金(72225010)

国家自然科学基金(72293605)

出版年

2024
煤炭经济研究
煤炭科学研究总院 中国煤炭经济研究会

煤炭经济研究

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.414
ISSN:1002-9605
参考文献量30
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