慢性病学杂志2023,Vol.24Issue(4) :485-490.DOI:10.16440/J.CNKI.1674-8166.2023.04.02

2010-2016年福建省农村地区鼻咽癌时空分布特征

Temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in rural areas of Fujian Province from 2010 to 2016

张俊超 王瀚炜 尹硕 谢伟江 任舒通 余熔 胡志坚 林少俊 彭仙娥
慢性病学杂志2023,Vol.24Issue(4) :485-490.DOI:10.16440/J.CNKI.1674-8166.2023.04.02

2010-2016年福建省农村地区鼻咽癌时空分布特征

Temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in rural areas of Fujian Province from 2010 to 2016

张俊超 1王瀚炜 1尹硕 1谢伟江 1任舒通 1余熔 1胡志坚 1林少俊 2彭仙娥1
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作者信息

  • 1. 福建医科大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系,福建 福州 350122
  • 2. 福建省肿瘤医院放疗科
  • 折叠

摘要

目的 探讨2010-2016年福建省农村地区鼻咽癌的时空分布特征,为当地鼻咽癌防治策略的制定提供流行病学依据.方法 基于福建省新型农村合作医疗住院报销记录数据,以该数据库中的住院病例数作为该地区鼻咽癌发病例数进行统计分析.采用Joinpoint分析流行趋势;使用Moran's I、对数似然比(log likelihood ratio,LLR)、相对危险度(relative risk,RR)等指标对数据进行描述与分析,并绘制局部空间自相关聚集图.结果 2010-2016年福建省农村鼻咽癌患者平均年龄为(50.14±12.53)岁,年均发病率为5.12/10万,男性发病率是女性的2.35倍.2010-2016年福建农村地区鼻咽癌总发病率在35岁之后呈现快速上升趋势,在55~岁年龄组达到最高峰.全局空间自相关分析发现,鼻咽癌发病率在空间分布上成正相关,局部空间自相关分析表明,存在高-高聚集、低-低聚集地.空间扫描分析显示,2010-2016年高风险地区主要集中闽南沿海地区.结论 福建省农村地区男性及40~69岁人群中鼻咽癌发病率较高,且发病率呈聚集性分布,存在明显的高发地区和低发地区.故在高发地区对40~69岁人群开展鼻咽癌早期筛查,有助于鼻咽癌早期诊断和治疗.

Abstract

Objective To explore the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of nasopharyngeal carci-noma(NPC)in rural areas of Fujian Province from 2010 to 2016,and provide epidemiological basis for prevention and control strategies.Methods NPC data were extracted from the New Rural Cooperative Medical Scheme(NRCMS)database in Fujian Province.Take the number of inpatients in the database as the number of NPC cases in the region for statistical analysis.Joinpoint was used to analyze the epidemic trend;Moran's I,log likelihood ratio(LLR),relative risk(RR)and other indicators were used to describe and analyze the data,and draw a local indicators of spatial autocorrelation(LISA)clustered graph.Results 2010-2016,the average age of NPC patients from rural areas of Fujian Province was(50.14±12.53)years.The average annual incidence rate of NPC patients was 5.12/105 between 2010 and 2016.The male-to-female ratio of incidence rate was 2.35 times.The NPC incidence rate had a rapid upward trend after 35 years of age,and a downward trend after reaching a peak in the 55-year age group.The global spatial autocorrelation analysis found that the incidence rate of NPC was positively correlated in the spatial distribu-tion,and the LISA analysis showed that there were high-high and low-low aggregations.The spatial scan-ning analysis showed that the high-risk areas were mainly concentrated in the coastal areas of southern Fujian from 2010 to 2016.Conclusions In rural areas of Fujian Province,the incidence rate of NPC is high among men and the 40-69 year age group,and the NPC incidence rate exhibited an aggregated distribu-tion,with clear high-and low-risk areas.Therefore,early screening for NPC in the population 40-69 years of age in high incidence areas will facilitate the early diagnosis and treatment of NPC.

关键词

鼻咽癌/趋势分析/空间流行病学/时空分布

Key words

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma/Trend analysis/Spatial epidemiology/Spatial and temporal distribution

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出版年

2023
慢性病学杂志

慢性病学杂志

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