中国各地区光伏发电平价上网成本效益综合分析
Comprehensive cost-benefit analysis of photovoltaic power grid parity in various regions of China
王驰中 1高鑫 1陈衡 1桂芳旭 1徐钢 1张国强 1张锴 1潘佩媛1
作者信息
- 1. 华北电力大学 能源动力与机械工程学院,北京 102206
- 折叠
摘要
文章针对我国各地区光伏资源、上网电价、初始全投资、弃光率不同的情况,构建了光伏经济性评价模型;分析了各地区光伏发电平价上网情况;并计算出各地区满足基准收益率的最低上网电价和最高初始全投资.结果表明:我国光伏经济性存在明显的地域性差异,考虑"弃光"的情况下,全国共有15个地区无法实现平价上网,但其中大部分地区已接近平价上网;部分光伏经济性高的地区能以低于标杆电价 0.05 元/(kW·h)的电价实现平价上网.研究结果有助于光伏项目的投资决策以及相关政策的制定.
Abstract
According to the different conditions of photovoltaic resources,on-grid price,initial total investment and light abandonment rate in various regions of China,a photovoltaic economic evaluation model is constructed to analyze the on-grid situation of photovoltaic power generation parity in various regions and calculate the minimum on-grid price and the maximum initial total investment that meet the benchmark yield in each region.The results show that there are obvious regional differences in China's photovoltaic economy.Considering the abandonment of light,a total of 15 regions in the country cannot achieve grid parity access,but most of them are close to parity access.Some regions with high photovoltaic economy can achieve parity with a price of 0.05 CNY/(kW·h)below the benchmark price.The research results of this paper are helpful to the investment decision-making of photovoltaic projects and the formulation of relevant policies.
关键词
光伏发电/太阳能资源/投资成本/平价上网/临界点分析Key words
photovoltaic power generation/solar resource/investment cost/grid parity/critical point analysis引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据