首页|国际贸易通道建设与中国向西开放——来自西部陆海新通道的经验证据

国际贸易通道建设与中国向西开放——来自西部陆海新通道的经验证据

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向西融入共建"一带一路",开辟国际贸易新通道是新时期中国高水平对外开放的重要命题.文章基于2010-2022年中国31个省份层面的面板数据,以西部陆海新通道建设为准自然实验,采用多期双重差分法系统研究国际贸易新通道建设对中国"向西开放"的影响效应与作用机制.研究发现,西部陆海新通道建设显著促进了中国"向西开放",政策效应集中于主通道区域与沿海地区,且主要促进了中国与发展中国家、"一带一路"国家与RCEP国家的向西出口开放水平.西部陆海新通道建设主要通过传统基础设施、数字基础设施完善带来的的贸易成本节约效应与市场资源的整合效应带动中国"向西开放".拓展研究表明,西部陆海新通道的"向西开放"效应存在可持续与可推广性质,其出口溢出效应主要来源于周边地区合作共建的贸易创造而非贸易转移.文章为中国开辟更多"向西开放"国际贸易新通道,规避中美贸易摩擦、全球价值链低端锁定等"向东开放"传统问题提供经验证据,为推进高水平对外开放提供政策启示.
International Trade Corridor Construction and China's Opening to the West——Empirical evidence from the New Western Land-Sea Corridor
Integrating westward into the joint construction of the"Belt and Road"and opening up new channels for the inter-national trade market are important propositions for China's high-level opening up in the new era.This article is based on panel data from 31 provinces in China from 2010 to 2022,taking the construction of the New Western Land-Sea Corridor as a quasi-natural experiment,and using the multi-period overlapping double difference method to systematically study the im-pact of the construction of the new international trade corridor on China's"opening to the west"and mechanism of action.The study found that the construction of the New Western Land-Sea Corridor has significantly promoted China's"opening to the west",with policy effects concentrated in the main corridor areas and coastal areas,and has mainly promoted westward ex-ports between China and developing countries,"Belt and Road"countries and RCEP countries.Open level.The construction of the New Western Land-Sea Corridor will mainly drive China's"opening to the west"through the trade cost saving effect of traditional infrastructure and digital infrastructure and the integration effect of market resources.Extensive research shows that the"opening to the west"effect of the New Western Land-Sea Corridor is sustainable and scalable,and its export spill-over effects mainly come from trade creation created through cooperation and co-construction in surrounding areas rather than trade diversion.The article provides empirical evidence for China to open up new channels for the international trade market in"opening to the west",avoid traditional issues of"opening to the east"such as Sino-US trade frictions and low-end lock-in of the global value chain,and provide policy inspiration for promoting high-level opening-up to the outside world.

International Trade CorridorNew Western Land-Sea CorridorOpening to the WestBelt and Road Initiative

汪田姣、陈金源、温可仪

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华南师范大学经济与管理学院

广东省国际经贸发展中心

广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院

国际贸易通道 西部陆海新通道 向西开放"一带一路"倡议

国家社会科学基金重大项目

22&ZD061

2024

南方经济
广东经济学会 广东省社会科学院

南方经济

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.925
ISSN:1000-6249
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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