首页|城市落户门槛影响流动人口的创业决策吗?——基于CLDS的实证检验

城市落户门槛影响流动人口的创业决策吗?——基于CLDS的实证检验

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户籍制度作为一项基本的制度安排,不仅深刻地影响着人们的生活,还持续塑造社会经济发展状态.中国的户籍制度由来已久.在这一制度背景下,我国形成了以农民工和毕业大学生为主的庞大流动人口群体.基于中国当前的户籍制度现状,文章借助中国劳动力动态调查(CLDS)2012年、2014年和2016年三年形成的混合横截面数据,并将其与不同城市的落户门槛指数相匹配,采用Probit模型实证检验了城市落户门槛对流动人口家庭创业决策的影响.结果显示,城市落户门槛每提高一个单位,家庭创业的概率降低5.3%.在变换核心解释变量、控制出生地特征以及采用倾向得分匹配法重新进行估计后,文章的结论依然保持稳健.机制检验结果发现,城市落户门槛降低了社会信任水平,从而抑制了流动人口家庭的创业决策.此外,文章的估计结果还表明,相比低收入家庭和户主学历较低的家庭,高收入家庭和户主学历较高的家庭更易受到城市落户门槛的影响.文章的研究丰富了有关创业影响因素的文献,所得到的结论有助于各级政府科学把握户籍改革的方向以及激发地区创业活力的着力点.
Does Hukou Affect Entrepreneurship of Immigrants?Evidence from CLDS
As a basic institutional arrangement,the household registration system not only profoundly affects people's lives,but also continuously shapes the state of social and economic development.China's household registration system has a long history.Under this system background,China has formed a huge floating population group mainly composed of migrant work-ers and college graduates.Since China's economy entered a new stage of development,stabilizing growth and promoting em-ployment have become the key to achieving qualitative changes in economic development.In this process,how to effectively resolve the employment pressure generated by the floating population has become an important issue faced by the Party and the government.According to the institutional entrepreneurship theory proposed by DiMaggio(1988),the political pressure,economic pressure and technological pressure faced by individuals in the institutional field is an important motivation for making entrepreneurial decisions.In China,some studies have studied how external institutional changes affect entrepreneur-ship from the perspectives of minimum wage standards,social security,etc.However,few studies have paid attention to the entrepreneurial effects of the household registration system.Based on the above considerations,this paper studies the relation-ship between urban settlement threshold and family entrepreneurship of floating population from both theoretical and empiri-cal levels.First of all,this paper expounds the mechanism of household registration system affecting the family entrepreneur-ship of floating population from the theoretical point of view.On the one hand,the threshold of urban household registration can inhibit family entrepreneurial decision-making by reducing the social trust of the floating population;On the other hand,the perception of social stratification brought by the household registration system has a non-negligible impact on the forma-tion of entrepreneurial decision-making.Secondly,using the data of China Labor-force Dynamic Survey(CLDS)in 2012,2014 and 2016,and matching the data of the household registration threshold of each city,the relationship between the house-hold registration threshold and the decision of the migrant population to start a business is tested.The research of this paper finds that the threshold of urban household registration significantly inhibits the entrepreneurial decision of the floating popu-lation,and the probability of household entrepreneurship decreases by 5.3%when the threshold of urban household registra-tion increases by one unit.After changing the core explanatory variables,controlling the characteristics of birthplace and us-ing propensity score matching method to re-estimate,the conclusion of this paper remains robust.The results of the mecha-nism test show that the threshold of urban household registration reduces the level of social trust,which inhibits the entrepre-neurial decisions of migrant families.In addition,the estimated results of this paper also show that high-income households and households with higher education levels are more affected by the urban hukou threshold than low-income households and households with lower education levels.The research of this paper enriches the literature on the factors affecting entrepreneur-ship and the conclusions are helpful for governments at all levels to grasp the direction of household registration reform and the focus of stimulating regional entrepreneurial vitality.

Household Registration SystemSettlement ThresholdImmigrantsEntrepreneurship

谭雅峰

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山西黄河股权投资管理有限公司 030024

户籍制度 落户门槛 流动人口 创业

2024

南方经济
广东经济学会 广东省社会科学院

南方经济

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.925
ISSN:1000-6249
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
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