中华内分泌外科杂志2024,Vol.18Issue(1) :83-87.DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn.115807-20231018-00111

单灶甲状腺乳头状癌中央区淋巴结转移临床风险因素预测研究

Prediction of clinical risk factors for lymph node metastasis in central group of monofocal papillary thyroid carcinoma

章彤 田敏 曹慧君 韩志江 舒艳艳 魏培英
中华内分泌外科杂志2024,Vol.18Issue(1) :83-87.DOI:10.3760/cma.j.cn.115807-20231018-00111

单灶甲状腺乳头状癌中央区淋巴结转移临床风险因素预测研究

Prediction of clinical risk factors for lymph node metastasis in central group of monofocal papillary thyroid carcinoma

章彤 1田敏 1曹慧君 1韩志江 2舒艳艳 3魏培英2
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作者信息

  • 1. 浙江中医药大学第四临床医学院,杭州 310053
  • 2. 西湖大学医学院附属杭州市第一人民医院放射科,杭州 310006
  • 3. 杭州市萧山区第一人民医院放射科,杭州 311200
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摘要

目的 探讨影响单灶甲状腺乳头状癌(papillary thyroid carcinoma,PTC)中央区淋巴结转移(central lymph node metastases,CLNM)的临床风险因素,评价年龄在不同性别及桥本氏甲状腺炎(Hashimoto's thyroiditis,HT)合并状态下对CLNM的预测价值.方法 回顾性分析西湖大学医学院附属杭州市第一人民医院放射科2010年1月至2023年8月收集4 115例单灶PTC患者的临床资料,依据肿瘤大小分甲状腺微小乳头状癌(papillary thyroid microcarcinoma,PTMC)(≤10.0 mm)和PTC(>10.0 mm).通过单因素和多因素Logistic回归分析确定影响CLNM的独立预测因素,并均分为男性组、女性组、HT组、non-HT组4个亚组,经受试者工作特异度曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)寻找各亚组中发生CLNM的最佳年龄阈值及诊断效能.结果 PTMC 和 PTC 发生 CLNM 比例分别为 27.2%(937/3451)和 58.9%(391/664)(x2=256.565,P<0.050).肿瘤较大(OR1.230)、男性(OR2.085)、年龄较大(OR 0.960)、HT(OR0.697)均与PTMC发生CLNM的独立相关,PTC中仅男性(OR 1.460)、年龄较大(OR 0.963)与CLNM独立相关.亚组分析显示PTC中男性、HT、non-HT 亚组年龄预测 CLNM 的 AUC 均高于 PTMC,分别为 0.642~0.689 和 0.635~0.659;女性、HT、non-HT亚组在PTC中的年龄阈值均低于PTMC,分别为38.5~39.5岁和41.5~42.5岁.结论 PTMC组中,男性、肿瘤较大是CLNM的危险因素,年龄较大和HT是保护因素.PTC组中,男性和年龄较大分别是CLNM的危险和保护因素.在不同性别及HT合并状态下,PTMC和PTC患者发生CLNM年龄存在一定差异,正确认识这些差异,对提供个性化临床治疗具有重要意义.

Abstract

Objective To determine the clinical factors affecting Central lymph node metastases(CLNM)of single Papillary thyroid carcinoma(PTC).To predict the value of age for CLNM under different gen-ders and the status of Hashimoto's thyroiditis(HT).Methods The clinical data of 4 115 patients with PTMC(≤10.0 mm)and 664 patients with PTC(>10.0 mm)in Hangzhou First People's Hospital affiliated to Westlake Uni-versity Medical School from Jan.2010 to Aug.2023 were retrospectively analyzed,and the independent risk factors of PTMC and PTC CLNM were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis.According to different gender and HT status,the patients were divided into male group,female group,HT group and non-HT group.The optimal age threshold and diagnostic efficacy of CLNM in each subgroup were determined by Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve(AUC).Results The proportion of CLNM in 3451 PTMCs and 664 PTCs was 27.2%(937/3451)and 58.9%(391/664)(x2=256.565,P<0.050),respectively.Univariate and multi-variate regression analysis showed that larger tumor(OR 1.230),male(OR 2.085),older age(OR 0.960)and HT(OR 0.697)were independent predictors of the occurrence of CLNM in PTMC.Only male(OR 1.460)and older(OR 0.963)PTC were independently associated with CLNM.Subgroup analysis showed that the age-predicted AUC of CLNM in male,HT and non-HT patients in PTC were higher than that of PTMC,which were 0.642-0.689 and 0.635-0.659,respectively.The age thresholds of female,HT and non-HT subgroups in PTC were lower than those in PTMC,which were 38.5 to 39.5 years old and 41.5 to 42.5 years old,respectively.Conclusions Larg-er tumor,male,older patients and HT can independently predict the risk of CLNM in PTMC,while only male and older people can independently predict the risk of CLNM in PTC.There are certain differences in the age of CLNM occurrence between PTMC and PTC patients with different genders and HT combination status.It is of great signifi-cance to correctly understand these differences for providing personalized clinical treatment.

关键词

甲状腺乳头状癌/中央区淋巴结转移

Key words

Papillary thyroid carcinoma/Central lymph node metastasis

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基金项目

浙江省医药卫生科技项目(2020RC091)

浙江省医药卫生科技项目(2021RC024)

出版年

2024
中华内分泌外科杂志
中华医学会

中华内分泌外科杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.657
ISSN:1674-6090
参考文献量12
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