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广东省乡村振兴水平:测度、区域差距和动态演进

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作为我国经济第一大省,广东省在推进乡村振兴方面走在全国前列.然而,广东省各地区的乡村振兴水平存在显著差距.为深入研究这一问题,本文采用时空极差熵权、Q型聚类、Dagum基尼系数及其分解、Kernel密度估计及Markov链等方法,对2017-2022 年广东省乡村振兴水平、区域差距及其动态演进进行了探讨.研究发现:广东省各地级市和区域的乡村振兴水平呈逐年提升趋势,但区域差距依然显著;相对区域差距在波动下降;绝对差距在扩大且存在多极化现象;总体差距主要源自区域间差距;随着乡村振兴战略的持续推进,各地市的乡村振兴水平最终将稳定在中高和高水平.基于上述发现,提出以下建议:充分利用广东省内各区域的资源优势,加强区域协调发展,积极发挥珠三角地区的引领作用,着力提高乡村振兴的可持续性,并建立有效的监测评估机制.
The Level of Rural Revitalization in Guangdong Province:Measurement,Regional Disparities,and Dynamic Evolution
As the largest province in China's economy,Guangdong Province is at the forefront of promoting rural revitalization in the country.However,there are significant differences in the level of rural revitalization among different regions in Guangdong Province.To further investigate this issue,this paper uses methods such as spatiotemporal range entropy weight,Q-type clustering,Dagum Gini coefficient and its decomposition,Kernel density estimation,and Markov chain to explore the level of rural revitalization,regional disparities,and their dynamic evolution in Guangdong Province from 2017 to 2022.Research has found that the level of rural revitalization in various prefecture level cities and regions in Guangdong Province has been increasing year by year,but regional disparities remain significant;The relative regional gap is fluctuating and decreasing;The absolute gap is widening and there is a phenomenon of multipolarity;The overall gap mainly stems from regional disparities;With the continuous promotion of the rural revitalization strategy,the level of rural revitalization in various cities will eventually stabilize at medium to high and high levels.Based on the above findings,the following suggestions are proposed:fully utilize the resource advantages of various regions in Guangdong Province,strengthen regional coordinated development,actively play the leading role of the Pearl River Delta region,focus on improving the sustainability of rural revitalization,and establish an effective monitoring and evaluation mechanism.

Level of rural revitalizationRegional disparitiesDynamic evolution

谭翔、游荞铢、李庆瑜、欧晓明

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仲恺农业工程学院 管理学院,广东 广州 510225

江西财经大学 经济学院,江西 南昌 330013

广州市农业农村科学院,广东 广州 510335

华南农业大学 经济管理学院,广东 广州 510642

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乡村振兴水平 区域差距 动态演进

2024

南方农村
广东省农村经济学会,广东省农业管理干部学院

南方农村

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.277
ISSN:1008-2697
年,卷(期):2024.40(6)