首页|中国大陆外籍人员的特征、趋势与预判——基于第六次和第七次全国人口普查数据

中国大陆外籍人员的特征、趋势与预判——基于第六次和第七次全国人口普查数据

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利用 2010 年和 2020 年第六次与第七次全国人口普查数据,分析在中国大陆居住的外籍人员的最新特征与变化趋势.研究发现:2010~2020 年间,居住在中国大陆的外籍人员规模明显增加,性别结构出现逆转,年龄结构整体趋于"青年化",受教育结构趋于下沉.他们的来源地构成更加多元.十年间,分布在东部地区的外籍人员规模与比例均大幅下降,而分布在云南的外籍人员规模与占比均明显上升.他们在中国大陆短期居住比例明显下降,而中、长期居住占比大幅上升,同时表现出明显的就业与定居目的.这一系列变化同时受到国际人口迁移与新冠肺炎疫情的双重影响.此外,结合中国未来发展规划和前景,以及其他国家的国际移民发展趋势,可以预见中国未来势必将迎接更大规模的外籍人员.对此应未雨绸缪,尽快建立和完善在华国际移民管理预案和制度安排.在人口负增长的新趋势背景下,激发国际劳动力市场的优势与活力,更好地实现"聚天下英才而用之".
Characteristics,Trends and Prognosis of Foreigners Residing in Chinese Mainland:Based on the Data from the 6th and 7th Censuses
Using the data from the 6th and 7th censuses conducted in 2010 and 2020,this paper examines the latest characteristics and trends of foreigners residing in Chinese mainland.The findings reveal a significant increase in the number of foreigners between 2010 and 2020 with a reversal in the gender structure,a trend toward younger demographic age distribution and the sinking educational attainment.The original countries of the foreigners have diversified further.Geographically,the eastern China has a marked decline while Yunnan province has a significant increase in the number and proportion of foreigners.Additionally,the proportion of short-term foreign residents decrease while those residing in China for medium to long-term periods have a substantial increase primarily driven by employment and settlement opportunities.In general,the characteristics and trend of foreigners residing in Chinese Mainland are influenced by both global migration trends and the COVID-19 pandemic and the prognosis show that China may continue to have even an larger influx of foreign residents considering China's future development and global migration trends.In response,it is essential to develop,establish,and enhance institutional frameworks to accommodate international migrants in China so as to leverage the advantages and dynamism of the international labor market to address the China's future talent needs in the context of China's emerging trend of negative population growth.

Chinese mainlandForeignersCharacteristicsTrends

闵欣伟、段成荣

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中国人民大学 人口与健康学院,北京 100872

中国人民大学 铸牢中华民族共同体意识研究院,北京 100872

中国大陆 外籍人员 特征 变化趋势

2024

南方人口
中山大学人口研究所

南方人口

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.16
ISSN:1004-1613
年,卷(期):2024.39(5)