首页|收入对退休决策的影响——基于实际与意愿退休年龄的比较分析

收入对退休决策的影响——基于实际与意愿退休年龄的比较分析

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新的延迟退休政策给予劳动者退休决策的自主权,使退休决策呈现更加多样化和复杂化的特点.利用 2018 年中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)数据,运用现代行为经济学理论的双曲线贴现模型实证分析和比较了收入对劳动者意愿退休年龄和实际退休年龄的影响差异.研究发现,劳动者的退休决策存在时间偏好的不一致,意愿退休年龄显著高于实际退休年龄;劳动者的收入与意愿退休年龄呈现先减后增的"U"型关系,与实际退休年龄则表现为先增后减的倒"U"型关系;工作单位性质对收入和实际退休年龄的倒"U"型关系具有显著的调节效应.研究结论为落实和完善我国延迟退休政策,充分开发老龄人力资源提供了相关理论和实证经验支撑.
The Influence of Income on Retirement Decisions:A Comparison of Actual and Intended Retirement Age
The new policy of delayed retirement grants workers greater autonomy in making retirement decisions,resulting in a more diverse and complex landscape of retirement choices.Using the 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS),this paper empirically analyzes and compares the impact of income on workers'intended and actual retirement age using the hyperbolic discount model of modern behavioral economics theory.The findings show that there is an inconsistency in the time preference of workers'retirement decision-making,and the intended retirement age is significantly higher than the actual retirement age.Workers'income correlates with their intended retirement age as an U-shape with decreases first and increases then,while correlates with actual retirement age as an inverted U-shape with increases first and decreases then.The types of working unit has a significant moderating effect on the inverted U-shaped relationship between income and actual retirement age.The above findings can provide theoretical and empirical support for the implementation and improvement of delayed retirement policies and full exploration of aging human resources.

Retirement decisionRetirement attitudeIncome effectHyperbolic discountModerating effect

马仕龙、朱火云

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暨南大学 公共管理学院/应急管理学院,广东 广州 510632

暨南大学 共同富裕与国家治理研究院,广东 广州 510632

退休决策 退休意愿 收入效应 双曲贴现 调节效应

2024

南方人口
中山大学人口研究所

南方人口

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.16
ISSN:1004-1613
年,卷(期):2024.39(6)