This article employs panel data from 288 cities in China from 2006 to 2019 to examine the impact of the exogenous policy for the establishment of national industrial transfer demonstration zones on urban population size,including a mechanism analysis with a multi-period difference-in-differences model.The main conclusions are as follows.(1)The policy has increased the average population of pilot cities by 5.79％.(2)This change in population has led to the reallocation of labor resources;that is,the policy has significantly increased employment in pilot cities,promoting employment in tertiary industries.(3)The mechanism for the policy effect is that the industrial transfer demonstration zones have attracted a large number of enterprises to settle,expanding employment opportunities,improving the supply level of local government public goods,attracting population inflows,and expanding the urban population.(4)The policy effects of the industrial transfer demonstration zones are heterogeneous;in cities with high levels of economic development,the policies have a greater promoting effect on urban population growth.(5)The policy of industrial transfer demonstration zones has also improved environmental quality through the effects of enterprise agglomeration and population agglomeration.
关键词
承接产业转移/城市人口规模/双重差分法
Key words
industrial transfer/urban population size/difference-in-differences method
万方数据