Study on the Influence of Climate Change on the Distribution and Future Change of Aleurocanthus spiniferus(Quaintanca)Infestation in Tea Area of Shandong Province
Precisely predicting the distribution of Aleurocanthus spiniferus(Quaintanca)infestations in tea areas under changing cli-mate is currently a research focus.In this study,based on the most representative tea garden pest,the black thorn aphid,in Shandong tea area,and using the MaxEnt species distribution model and three future climate scenarios(RCP26,RCP45,RCP85)for the year 2050,actual investigation and literature data were used to obtain sample data on the distribution of Aleurocanthus spiniferus(Quain-tanca)in Shandong tea area,and 19 climate variables and 8 soil environmental factors were modeled by cutting from the world cli-mate data platform for the Shandong tea area.Based on field surveys and model predictions,intercropping of tea and forests is rec-ommended in the low and medium suitability areas,innovative and intelligent sound technology should be promoted in the medium-high suitability areas,and the source management of local afforestation seedlings should be strengthened in the high suitability areas.
Aleurocanthus spiniferus(Quaintanca)species distribution modelcontrol strategy
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
