Analysis of Chinese Tea Exports Based on ARIMA Model Prediction
In the context of the Belt and Road policy,China's tea export market has gradually expanded.However,under the influ-ence of peer competition,inspection standards and other factors in the foreign trade market,China's tea export volume has generally shown a trend of shock rise and then decline.Based on this background,this paper refered to a series of statistical data from databas-es(General Administration of Customs of China),China Tea Export Scale Monitoring Center,and China Tea Statistical Data Bureau to establish an ARIMA statistical model to predict China's tea export volume data from 2024 to 2035,deeply explored the changing patterns of tea export volume in China's tea foreign trade,predicted future trade prospects from it,took preventive measures against possible events,and provided sustainable development planning suggestions for the tea industry.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
