首页|碳排放权交易政策与中国"双碳"目标实现——基于碳中和进程的测度与分析

碳排放权交易政策与中国"双碳"目标实现——基于碳中和进程的测度与分析

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"双碳"目标是党中央作出的重大战略决策,是实现我国高质量发展的内在要求.为科学量化我国碳中和进程,并考察相关政策效果,总结分析碳中和目标实现路径,本文首先从区域总体、人均和能源消耗三个维度出发,构建了能够反映我国各省份碳中和进程的指数体系,总结了其时空动态演化特征,并以碳排放权交易政策试点作为准自然实验,基于我国省级经验数据,深入分析了碳排放权交易政策对我国碳中和目标实现的影响.研究发现,碳排放权交易政策能够推进我国各地区碳中和目标的实现,并通过碳排放和碳吸收(即碳汇)两端产生积极的政策效果;进一步的机制分析表明,碳排放权交易政策通过改善能源结构和提升能源效率两个渠道促进了碳中和目标的实现.本文研究为实现"双碳"目标、建设健全中国碳市场和推动中国经济高质量发展,提供了科学的实证证据和政策支持.
Carbon Emission Trading Policies and the Achievement of China's"Dual Carbon"Goals:Based on Measurement and Analysis of the Carbon Neutrality Process
The"Dual Carbon"goals is a significant strategic decision made by the central government and serve as a crucial lever for achieving high-quality transformation in China's economic development.To scientifically quantify China's carbon neutrality process,examine the implementation effects of relevant policies,and analyze the paths to achieve carbon neutrality goals,this study first constructs an index system reflecting the carbon neutrality progress in each province from the dimensions of regional overall,per capita,and energy consumption.It summarizes the spatiotemporal dynamic evolution characteris-tics.Subsequently,treating the carbon emissions trading policy pilot as a quasi-natural ex-periment and based on provincial panel data,the study deeply analyzes the impact of this policy on the realization of China's carbon neutrality goals.The research reveals that the carbon emissions trading policy can promote the realization of regional carbon neutrality goals,and its effects are manifested in both carbon emissions and carbon absorp-tion(carbon sinks).Mechanism analysis indicates that the carbon emissions trading policy promotes carbon neutrality goals through a dual channel of improving energy structure and enhancing energy efficiency.This study provides scientific empirical evidence and policy support for achieving the"Dual Carbon"goals,establishing a sound carbon market in China,and promoting high-quality economic development in the country.

Carbon NeutralityCarbon Emission TradingEnergy EfficiencyCarbon EmissionsCarbon Sink

王道平、刘琳琳、刘杨婧卓

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南开大学金融学院(邮编:300350)

南开大学中国式现代化发展研究院(邮编:300071)

北京大学经济学院(邮编:100871)

碳中和 碳排放权交易 能源效率 碳排放 碳汇

2024

南开经济研究
南开大学经济学院

南开经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.82
ISSN:1001-4691
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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