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区域经济增长的竞争与协同——基于对经济增长率的分解

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理解区域经济增长的互动关系及其背后的机制,对解决区域发展不平衡问题至关重要.本文基于地方政府每年年初制定的经济增长目标,将经济增长率分解为目标内增长和目标外增长,根据 2009-2019 年地级市政府工作报告的文本相似度及地级市之间的地理距离和经济距离构建空间权重矩阵,利用空间计量模型研究区域经济增长中的互动.结果表明:第一,区域经济增长互动背后的机制表现为竞争与协同两方面,目标内增长的互动主要来自竞争,而目标外增长的互动主要来自协同.第二,区域经济互动中竞争与协同存在此消彼长的趋势,地方政府促进创新和改善环境的长期举措会降低其在追求短期经济增速上的竞争.研究结果对于理解我国区域之间的互动关系、促进区域协调发展具有重要启示.
Competition and Coordination of Regional Economic Growth:Evidence from the Decomposition of the Economic Growth Rate
Understanding the interaction of regional economic growth and the mechanisms be-hind it is essential to address the problem of uneven regional development.This paper decom-poses economic growth into on-target growth and off-target growth based on the economic growth targets set by local governments at the beginning of each year,constructs a spatial weight matrix based on the textual similarity of the 2009-2019 prefecture-level city government work reports and the geographical and economic distances between prefecture-level cities,and uses spatial econometric models to study the interaction in regional economic growth.The results show that,firstly,the mechanism behind regional economic growth interaction is manifested in both competition and coordination,with the interaction of on-target growth reflecting more competition and the interaction of off-target growth reflecting more coordination.Secondly,there is an opposite trend of competition and coordination in regional economic interaction.;the long-term initiatives of local governments to promote innovation and improve the environment reduce their competition in the pursuit of short-term economic growth rates.The results of the study have important implications for understanding the interactions between regions in China and promoting coordinated regional development.

Economic GrowthGrowth TargetsCoordinated Regional DevelopmentSpatial Econometrics

瞿茜、郭俊聪、王越

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上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院(邮编:200030)

经济增长 增长目标 区域协调发展 空间计量

国家自然科学基金面上项目国家自然科学基金青年科学基金上海交通大学新进教师启动计划

719730977230315122X010503829

2024

南开经济研究
南开大学经济学院

南开经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.82
ISSN:1001-4691
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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