首页|新发展格局下以城市循环能力增强国内大循环内生动力的模式和机制研究

新发展格局下以城市循环能力增强国内大循环内生动力的模式和机制研究

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"增强国内大循环内生动力"是新形势新条件下对构建新发展格局提出的重大要求之一.本文提出"城市节点-城市群块-流关系链-双向循环网"的研究框架,以 289 个城市的循环能力衡量城市供需的特征性事实,并运用投入产出表和社会网络分析方法刻画国内大循环网络,探究以城市循环能力增强国内大循环内生动力的模式和作用机制.研究发现,第一,样本期城市循环能力面临着联动性不畅、均衡性不足和协调性不强的三重结构性困境;第二,破解三重结构性困境需要认识城市在国内大循环网络中的中间人角色及其联动模式.联动性不畅是由于联络人不多,均衡性不足是由于协调人角色较少,协调性不强是由于守门人和联络人较少;第三,在上述联动模式的基础上,本文从城市循环能力内生性、网络结构动力双重性和中间人作用异质性等多重角度,采用指数随机图模型实证探究城市循环能力增强国内大循环内生动力的模式与机制.本文对于如何从城市层面增强国内大循环内生动力,助力新发展格局构建具有借鉴意义.
Patterns and Mechanisms for Enhancing the Endogenous Power of China's Domestic Great Circulation with Urban Circulation Capacity in the New Development Pattern
"Enhancing the endogenous power of China's domestic great circulation"is one of the major requirements for the construction of the new development pattern under the new situation and new conditions.This paper puts forward the research framework of"city node-city cluster-flow relationship flow-two-way circulation network",and measures the characteristic facts of urban demand and supply by urban circulation capacity,and uses input-output table with social network method to portray the China's domestic great circulation network,and explores the pattern and role of enhancing the endogenous power of the China's domestic great circulation by the urban circulation capacity.The study finds that:firstly,the urban circulation capacity in the sample period faces the triple structural dilemma of poor linkage,insufficient balance and weak coordination;secondly,to solve the triple structural dilemma,it is necessary to recognize the role of cities as brokers and their linkage patterns in the domestic great network.Poor linkage is due to fewer liaisons,lack of balance is due to fewer coordinators,and poor coordination is due to fewer gatekeepers and liaisons;thirdly,on the basis of the above linkage model,this paper empirically explores the pattern and mechanism of enhancing the endogenous poewer of the do-mestic great circulation by using the exponential random graph model from the perspectives of endogeneity of urban circulation capacity,duality of network structure power,and heterogene-ity of the role of brokers.This paper is of great significance for how to enhance the endogenous dynamics of the domestic great circulation from the city level and help the construction of the new development pattern.

Urban Circulation CapacityChina's Domestic Great CirculationEndogenous PowerExponential Random Graph Model

周密、王威华、李月

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南开大学经济与社会发展研究院(邮编:300071)

南开大学经济学院(邮编:300071)

城市循环能力 国内大循环 内生动力 指数随机图模型

国家社会科学基金重点项目教育部哲学社会科学实验室专项

23AZD033H0122711

2024

南开经济研究
南开大学经济学院

南开经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.82
ISSN:1001-4691
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
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