首页|数字经济如何影响居民消费升级——来自中国地级市的经验证据

数字经济如何影响居民消费升级——来自中国地级市的经验证据

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消费是畅通国内大循环的重要引擎,而数字经济作为新时期国民经济发展的新动能能否带动消费升级值得关注.本文在理论分析数字经济对消费升级影响及其作用机制的基础上,采用中国城市层面的面板数据进行了实证检验.研究表明,第一,数字经济发展显著促进居民消费水平提升和消费结构升级,即数字经济有助于带动居民消费的"扩容"与"提质";第二,数字经济通过提升收入水平、推动产业结构升级和促进人力资本积累等机制影响消费升级,且以收入水平作为门槛,数字经济对消费水平提升的促进作用呈现"U"型;第三,相比一、二、三线城市,数字经济对四、五线城市的消费升级尤其是消费水平的提升作用更明显.此外,数字经济发展能够抑制消费不平等,有助于促进消费的均衡发展.本文的研究为依托数字经济扩大内需提供了城市层面的依据,对于加快构建新发展格局具有一定的参考价值.
How does the Digital Economy Affect Consumption Upgrading?Evidence from Prefecture-level Cities in China
Consumption is an important engine for domestic circulation.It is worth paying attention to whether the digital economy,as a new driving force for the development of the national economy in the new era,can drive consumption upgrading.This paper aims to clar-ify how the development of digital economy affects consumption upgrading.First,this pa-per theoretically analyzes the impact of digital economy on consumption upgrading and its mechanism.Then,we use the panel data of prefecture-level and above cities from 2011 to 2019 to conduct empirical tests.The results show that digital economy significantly promotes the improvement of consumption level and the upgrading of consumption structure.In other words,the digital economy helps to drive the"expansion"and"improvement"of consump-tion.This conclusion remains robust under conditions such as overcoming endogeneity bias,replacing core explanatory variables,replacing estimation methods,and excluding municipalities directly under the central government and municipalities with independent planning status.Mechanism analysis shows that digital economy promotes consumption up-grading through channels such as raising income level,optimizing industrial structure,and promoting human capital accumulation.Taking the income level as the threshold,we find that the promotion effect of digital economy on consumption level presents a"U"shape.Compared with first,second and third-tier cities,digital economy has a more obvious role in fourth and fifth-tier cities.Further analysis shows that the development of digital economy can alleviate consumption inequality and help promote the balanced development of con-sumption.This paper provides a research basis for expanding domestic demand based on digital economy,especially promoting the quality and capacity expansion of consumption.It is of great significance for accelerating the construction of a new development pattern dominated by domestic circulation.

Digital EconomyConsumption LevelConsumption StructureConsumption Upgrading

姚健、周博文、臧旭恒

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山东大学经济学院(邮编:250100)

数字经济 消费水平 消费结构 消费升级

2024

南开经济研究
南开大学经济学院

南开经济研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.82
ISSN:1001-4691
年,卷(期):2024.(9)