STUDY ON ANOMALY DATA VARIATION CHARACTERISTICS BEFORE TAJIKISTAN MS7.2 EARTHQUAKE ON FEBRUARY 23,2023 BASED ON GNSS
In order to further explore whether there are short-term and medium-term anomalies in the GNSS coordinate time series before the occurrence of moderate earthquakes,the variation character-istics of the observation data of GNSS reference stations in Tashkurgan and Bulunkou of China main-land tectonic environment monitoring network before Tajikistan MS7.2 earthquake on February 23,2023 are analyzed.It is found that there are obvious time series anomalies of GNSS reference sta-tions in Tashkurgan and Bulunkou before the earthquake.Before the earthquake,there is a trend of W-direction movement in EW direction.After the earthquake,the E-direction accelerates,and the NS-trending S-direction movement before the earthquake.The state changes rapidly before the earth-quake.After the earthquake,Bulunkou also shows a permanent deformation of 7.3 mm in EW di-rection.The results show that GNSS has important predictive significance in the short-term and im-minent stage of earthquake.Compared with in Tajikistan MS7.4 earthquake on December 7,2015,it is found that the influence of two earthquakes with magnitude greater than 7 on the base stations of Tashkurgan and Bulunkou is quite different.On December 7,2015,Tajikistan Ms7.4 earthquake was left-lateral strike-slip,and the direction of influence was mainly NE.On February 23,2023,Tajikistan MS7.2 earthquake was right-lateral strike-slip,and the direction of influence was mainly SE.The baseline before the earthquake showed all the precursory anomalies.By combing the anom-aly occurrence of the site,it is found that the longer the anomaly duration and the more the number of anomaly occurrences,the greater the magnitude of the earthquake may be.