首页|基于GNSS的2023年2月23日塔吉克斯坦MS7.2地震前异常资料变化特征研究

基于GNSS的2023年2月23日塔吉克斯坦MS7.2地震前异常资料变化特征研究

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为了进一步探究中强地震发生前GNSS坐标时序中是否存在中短期异常现象,通过分析2023年2月23日塔吉克斯坦MS7.2地震前后中国大陆构造环境监测网络(简称:"陆态网络")塔什库尔干、布伦口 GNSS基准站观测资料的变化特征,发现该地震震前塔什库尔干、布伦口均出现较为明显的GNSS基准站时间序列异常现象,震前EW向存在趋势性W向运动,震后E向加速;震前NS向趋势性S向运动,临震前状态快速改变,布伦口在震后还显示出7.3 mm的EW向永久性形变,研究结果表明GNSS在地震发生短临阶段具有重要的预测意义.与2015年12月7日塔吉克斯坦MS7.4地震进行对比发现,两次MS≥7.0地震对塔什库尔干、布伦口基准站的影响差异较大.2015年12月7日塔吉克斯坦MS7.4地震为左旋走滑,影响方向主要为NE向,而2023年2月23日塔吉克斯坦MS7.2地震为右旋走滑,影响方向主要为SE向.震前基线均有挤压缩短的前兆异常显示.梳理站点异常出现情况,发现异常持续时间越长、异常出现次数越多,发震震级可能越大.
STUDY ON ANOMALY DATA VARIATION CHARACTERISTICS BEFORE TAJIKISTAN MS7.2 EARTHQUAKE ON FEBRUARY 23,2023 BASED ON GNSS
In order to further explore whether there are short-term and medium-term anomalies in the GNSS coordinate time series before the occurrence of moderate earthquakes,the variation character-istics of the observation data of GNSS reference stations in Tashkurgan and Bulunkou of China main-land tectonic environment monitoring network before Tajikistan MS7.2 earthquake on February 23,2023 are analyzed.It is found that there are obvious time series anomalies of GNSS reference sta-tions in Tashkurgan and Bulunkou before the earthquake.Before the earthquake,there is a trend of W-direction movement in EW direction.After the earthquake,the E-direction accelerates,and the NS-trending S-direction movement before the earthquake.The state changes rapidly before the earth-quake.After the earthquake,Bulunkou also shows a permanent deformation of 7.3 mm in EW di-rection.The results show that GNSS has important predictive significance in the short-term and im-minent stage of earthquake.Compared with in Tajikistan MS7.4 earthquake on December 7,2015,it is found that the influence of two earthquakes with magnitude greater than 7 on the base stations of Tashkurgan and Bulunkou is quite different.On December 7,2015,Tajikistan Ms7.4 earthquake was left-lateral strike-slip,and the direction of influence was mainly NE.On February 23,2023,Tajikistan MS7.2 earthquake was right-lateral strike-slip,and the direction of influence was mainly SE.The baseline before the earthquake showed all the precursory anomalies.By combing the anom-aly occurrence of the site,it is found that the longer the anomaly duration and the more the number of anomaly occurrences,the greater the magnitude of the earthquake may be.

GNSSVariationTajikistan MS7.2 earthquakeAnomaly

李桂荣、李杰、李瑞、苏力坦·玉散、李思妍

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新疆维吾尔自治区地震局,新疆乌鲁木齐 830011

GNSS 变化量 塔吉克斯坦MS7.2地震 地震异常

国家重点研发计划子课题国家重点研发计划子课题国家自然科学基金新疆维吾尔自治区重点研发专项新疆维吾尔自治区重点研发专项新疆地震科学基金新疆地震科学基金

2023YFE01029022022YFC3003703422740142022B030012020B03006202215202211

2024

内陆地震
新疆维吾尔自治区地震局

内陆地震

影响因子:0.495
ISSN:1001-8956
年,卷(期):2024.38(1)
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