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中国碳排放的时空非均衡特征与收敛机制

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推动经济社会绿色低碳发展是实现高质量发展的关键环节,探究中国碳排放的时空非均衡特征与收敛机制对于建设人与自然和谐共生的美丽中国具有重要意义与时代价值.基于2001-2019 年中国能源消费数据核算碳排放量,综合运用GIS技术、离散型Dagum基尼系数、核密度估计与收敛模型考察中国碳排放量的区域梯度性、地区差异来源、分布动态演进与收敛机制.研究结果表明:中国碳排放量呈现上升趋势,"十五"时期增速较快,"十一五"时期增速放缓,"十二五"时期增速大幅下降,"十三五"时期碳排放量进入低速增长阶段;中国碳排放量的空间非均衡特征明显,东、中、西部的地区间差异是总体差异的主要来源,西部地区碳排放量相对集中而中部地区碳排放量内部差距较大;中水平类型和低水平类型地区碳排放量增长趋势平缓且存在趋同现象,高水平类型地区碳排放量增长幅度较大且扩散趋势明显,人口密度、城镇化水平、产业结构和对外开放程度对碳排放量的作用效果存在时空异质性.
The Disequilibrium Spatial-Temporal Characteristics and Convergence Mechanism of Carbon Emissions in China
Promoting green and low-carbon development for economy and society is the key to high-quality development.Therefore,it is of great importance and time value to probe into the spatial and temporal characteris-tics and convergence mechanism of carbon emissions in China in order to build a beautiful China of harmony be-tween humanity and nature.Based on China's energy consumption data from 2001 to 2019,this paper calculates carbon emissions,and investigates the regional gradient,source of regional difference,dynamic evolution of distri-bution and convergence mechanism of China's carbon emissions by comprehensively adopting GIS technology,dis-crete Dagum Gini coefficient,kernel density estimation and convergence model.The results show that China's car-bon emissions show an increasing trend,with a fast growth rate during the tenth Five-Year Plan period,a slower growth rate during the eleventh Five-Year Plan period,a sharp decline during the twelfth Five-Year Plan period,and a low growth rate during the thirteenth Five-Year Plan period.The spatial imbalance of carbon emissions in China is obvious,and the regional difference in China's eastern,middle and western regions is the main source of the overall difference.The carbon emissions in the western region are relatively concentrated,while in the central region are divergent.The growth trend of carbon emissions in the medium-level and low-level regions is moder-ate and convergent,while the growth rate of carbon emissions in the high-level regions is large and the diffusion trend is obvious.The effects of population density,urbanization level,industrial structure and opening-up degree on carbon emissions have spatial and temporal heterogeneity.

carbon emissiondisequilibrium spatial-temporal characteristicsheterogeneityconvergence mechanism

李春玉、安博文、李宝新、谷欣然

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河北经贸大学 数学与统计学学院,河北 石家庄 050061

华侨大学 经济与金融学院,福建 泉州 362021

城银清算服务有限公司,上海 200120

碳排放 空间非均衡 异质性 收敛机制

国家自然科学基金项目

72064034

2024

财经理论研究
内蒙古财经学院

财经理论研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.364
ISSN:2095-5863
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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