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财政支农、农村金融与农业经济发展

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基于省级面板数据,本研究构建了双向固定效应模型对财政支农与农村金融影响农业经济发展过程中呈现出的相互关系进行了实证探析,且运用兼具省份固定效应与时间固定效应的偏差矫正的LSDV估计法与FGLS估计法以及差分GMM模型与系统GMM模型对该关系进行了稳定性检验,在此基础上又进行了地区异质性分析.实证研究发现:财政支农水平与农村金融发展水平的交乘项在1%显著性水平上对农业经济发展有正向影响效果,表明财政支农与农村金融存在显著的互补关系,且运用多个模型稳定性检验发现该关系仍然存在,进而有效揭示了财政支农与农村金融的互补协同关系;并且发现农村金融对农业经济发展存在抽水机效应的抑制影响,财政支农却表现出不显著的正向影响;地区异质性分析发现财政支农与农村金融的互补关系在东、中部地区较为明显,在西部地区的互补性相对较弱,同时发现三个地区的农村金融均有抽水机效应,且东、中部地区的财政支农政策有负向效果.据此提出强化财政支农与农村金融的互补协同作用,以及实现两者走向各自最优实施路径的政策启示.
Fiscal Support for Agriculture,Rural Finance and Agricultural Economy Development
Based on provincial panel data,this study constructs a two-way fixed effect model to empirically analyze the relationship between fiscal subsidies for agriculture and rural finance in the process of agricultural economic development,and uses the deviation correction LSDV estimator and FGLS estimator with both provincial fixed effect and time fixed effect,as well as the difference GMM model and system GMM model to test the stability of such relationship,and then analyzes the regional heterogeneity.The empirical study shows that:the interaction term between the level of fiscal subsidies for agriculture and the level of rural financial development has a positive effect on agricultural development at the level of 1%significance,which shows that there is a significant comple-mentary relationship between fiscal subsidies for agriculture and rural finance,and the relationship still exists after multiple model stability tests.Therefore,the complementary synergistic relationship between fiscal subsidies for agriculture and rural finance is revealed;And it is found that rural finance has an inhibiting effect of water-pum-ping on agricultural development,while fiscal support for agriculture has an inapparent positive effect.Regional heterogeneity analysis shows that the complementary relationship between fiscal subsidies for agriculture and rural finance is obvious in the eastern and central areas of China,while in the western area is less obvious,the water-pumping effect of rural finance prevails in the three areas,and the financial policy of fiscal subsidies for agriculture in the eastern and central areas has negative effect.Based on the above findings,this paper puts forward the policy suggestions of strengthening complementary synergistic relationship between fiscal subsidies for agriculture and rural finance,enabling the two to accomplish the optimal implementations respectively.

fiscal subsidies for agriculturerural financeagricultural economic developmentcomplementary relation

陈治国、景辛辛

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咸阳师范学院 经济与管理学院,陕西 咸阳 712000

山东财经大学 会计学院,山东 济南 250000

财政支农 农村金融 农业经济发展 互补关系

国家社会科学基金青年项目教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金山东省软科学研究计划

20CJY01719YJC7900562022RKY07012

2024

财经理论研究
内蒙古财经学院

财经理论研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.364
ISSN:2095-5863
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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