首页|高铁开通对城市群发展的非均衡影响——基于广东省样本研究

高铁开通对城市群发展的非均衡影响——基于广东省样本研究

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本文基于"多中心-外围"城市群理论模型,利用2005-2019年广东省21个地级市数据,考察了高铁开通对城市群发展影响的机制与效果.研究表明:高铁开通显著促进了城市群整体的经济发展,且这种影响在城市群内呈现非均衡表现;机制检验表明,高铁开通可以通过企业和人口转移对城市群资源进行重新配置;高铁对于城市群经济发展的作用受到建成时间的影响,在高铁建成的第二年中心城市产生"聚集效应"并显著促进经济发展,从第三年开始逐步转化为"辐射效应".基于以上研究结论,本文提出如下政策建议,进一步加快广东省高速铁路建设速度,促进城市群之间互联互通;高铁建设规划要因地制宜,防止外围城市资源过度流失;同时,外围城市也应做好承接准备,充分利用中心城市的"辐射效应".
Non-equilibrium Effects of High-Speed Railway on the Development of Urban Agglomerations——Base on the Sample Study of Guangdong Province
Based on the theoretical model of"polycentric-peripheral"urban agglomeration and the data of 21 cities in Guangdong Province from 2005 to 2019,this paper investigates the mechanism and effect of high-speed railway establishment on the development of urban agglomeration.The research shows that:The establishment of high-speed rail significantly promotes the overall economic development of urban agglomerations,and it presents unbalanced effects on different areas within agglomerations.Mechanism test shows that the operation of high-speed rail can help reallocation of resources in urban agglomeration through the transfer of enterprises and population.The effects of high-speed rail on the economic development of urban agglomerations is affected by the completion time."Agglomeration effect"in central cities usually takes shape in the second year after the completion of high-speed railway,which can boost the economic development,and then"radiation effect"gradually presents from the third year.Based on the above conclusions,this paper puts forward the following policy suggestions:it is necessary to accelerate the construction of high-speed railway in Guangdong province to promote the interconnection among urban agglomerations;High-speed railway construction plan should be made in accordance with local conditions to prevent excessive loss of resources in peripheral cities;At the same time,peripheral cities should be prepared to undertake and make full use of the"radiation effect"of central cities.

high-speed railwayurban agglomeration"polycentric-peripheral"difference-in-differ-ence model

岳鹄、叶实、吴美贤

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广东工业大学 经济学院,广东 广州 510006

广东邮电职业技术学院 经济管理学院,广东 广州 510630

高铁 城市群 "多中心-外围" 双重差分模型

广东省自然科学基金广东省自然科学基金广东省哲学社会科学规划项目

2021A15150125592018A030313006502230261

2024

财经理论研究
内蒙古财经学院

财经理论研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.364
ISSN:2095-5863
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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