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松花江流域输沙时空变化及其驱动因素

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基于松花江流域多年输沙数据,利用M-K趋势检验与Pettitt突变检验分析了输沙时空变化特征,采用偏最小二乘结构方程模型定量区分不同因素对输沙变化的贡献.结果显示,嫩江中上游区和松花江干流中下游区输沙量的上升趋势与嫩江下游区、西流松花江和松花江干流上游区输沙量的下降趋势均达极显著水平(P<0.01),各区输沙量均存在显著突变.流域输沙模数呈西北低、东南高的空间格局,主要侵蚀产沙区包括嫩江上游及其下游支流、西流松花江各支流和松花江干流中上游区域.降水、径流、植被覆盖和水库为输沙变化的主导因素,其共同解释了三大子流域61.6%、71%和47.3%的输沙变化.明确了松花江流域输沙的时空格局变化及其驱动因素,为未来水土保持措施配置与极端暴雨侵蚀灾害应对提供科学依据.
Study on spatiotemporal variations of sediment load and driving factors in the Songhua River Basin
Based on the long-term sediment load data in the Songhua River Basin,the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of sediment transport were analyzed by using the M-K trend test and Pettitt change point test methods,and the partial least squares structural equation model was used to quantitatively differentiate the contribution of different factors to sediment yield changes.The results show that both the increasing trend of sediment transport in the upper and middle reaches of the Nen River and the middle and lower reaches of the mainstream of Songhua River,and the decreasing trend of sediment transport in the lower reaches of the Nen River,the Second Songhua River area,and the upper reach of the mainstream of the Songhua River reach to a significant lever with P<0.01.However,there exist the significant abrupt changes of sediment transport series in each river basin area.The sediment transport modulus in the basin shows a spatial pattern of lower in northwest and higher in southeast,with the main sediment erosion and yield areas including the upper and lower reaches of the Nen River,various tributaries of the Second Songhua River,and the middle and upper reaches of the mainstream of Songhua River.Precipitation,runoff,NDVI,and RI are the dominant factors affecting sediment transport changes,which jointly explaining 61.6%,71%,and 47.3%of sediment yields changes in the three major sub-basins.The spatial and temporal pattern changes of sediment transport in the Songhua River basin and its driving factors will provide a basis for future allocation of soil and water conservation measures and response to extreme rainstorm erosion disasters.

Songhua River Basinsediment loadspatiotemporal variationsdriving factors

唐堃、田鹏、穆兴民、赵广举、范俊健、耿韧、毕博

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西北农林科技大学水土保持科学与工程学院,陕西杨凌 712100

南京水利科学研究院水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏,南京 210029

松花江流域 输沙 时空变化 驱动因素

2024

泥沙研究
中国水利学会

泥沙研究

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.817
ISSN:0468-155X
年,卷(期):2024.49(6)