首页|脂质蓄积指数对中老年人急性胰腺炎的预测价值

脂质蓄积指数对中老年人急性胰腺炎的预测价值

扫码查看
目的 探讨脂质蓄积指数(LAP)在中老年人群急性胰腺炎预测中的有效性,以期为急性胰腺炎高风险患者的早期识别与管理提供参考依据.方法 回顾性收集因急性消化系统疾病入院的2 076例中老年患者数据,通过logistic回归分析及受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估不同肥胖评价指标对急性胰腺炎的预测价值,并采用Medcalc 19.7.2软件对ROC曲线下面积进行两两比较.结果 急性胰腺炎患者在年龄、身体质量指数(BMI)、LAP、内脏脂肪指数(VAI)等指标上显著高于非急性胰腺炎组的患者(P<0.05).logistic回归分析显示,BMI、LAP和VAI均为急性胰腺炎的独立危险因素.LAP的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)高于BMI和VAI,其最佳临界值为40.55,灵敏度为82.47%,特异度为64.99%(P<0.05).结论 LAP能够有效预测中老年人急性胰腺炎患病风险,且预测效果优于BMI和VAI.
Predictive value of lipid accumulation index in acute pancreatitis in middle-aged and elderly population
Objective To investigate the effectiveness of the lipid accumulation product(LAP)in predicting acute pancreatitis in middle-aged and elderly populations,aiming to provide a reference basis for the early identification and management of high-risk patients with acute pancreatitis.Methods A retrospective study collected data from 2 076 middle-aged and elderly patients for acute gastrointestinal diseases.Logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves to evaluate the predictive value of different obesity evaluation indexes for acute pancreatitis,with the area under the ROC curves evaluated in two-by-two comparisons by using MedCalc 19.7.2 software.Results Patients with acute pancreatitis were significantly higher in age,BMI,LAP,and visceral ad-iposity index(VAI)compared to those in the non-acute pancreatitis group(P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis indicated that BMI,LAP and VAI were independent risk factors for acute pancreatitis.The area under the ROC curve(AUC)of LAP was higher than that of BMI and VAI,with an optimal critical value of 40.55,a sensitivity of 82.47%,and a specificity of 64.99%(P<0.05).Conclusion LAP is effective in predicting the risk of acute pancreatitis in middle-aged and elderly people in Ningxia,and is better than BMI and VAI.

Lipid accumulation productAcute pancreatitisMiddle-aged and elderly peoplePredictive value

杜武军、黄存、杜建斌、李生明、冯珂

展开 >

宁夏医科大学总医院急诊科,宁夏银川 750004

脂质蓄积指数 急性胰腺炎 中老年人 预测价值

2024

宁夏医学杂志
中华医学会宁夏分会

宁夏医学杂志

影响因子:0.706
ISSN:1001-5949
年,卷(期):2024.46(11)