首页|基于多组实时数据回归分析的空调负荷预测方法研究

基于多组实时数据回归分析的空调负荷预测方法研究

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传统的空调负荷预测方法存在一定局限性或计算工作量大、周期较长等问题,本文提出一种利用多组实时数据进行回归分析预测空调负荷方法,在规划前期条件不确定时,通过多对组数据的相关分析,判断供能面积与冷负荷、热负荷的相关性,拟合回归方程,并应用于实际工程进行空调负荷预测,通过与传统空调负荷预测方法计算值进行比对,预测结果相对误差5%以内。该方法在一定范围条件下,可作为一种前期空调负荷估算的实用方法。
Research on air conditioning load forecasting method based on multiple real time data regression analysis
Traditional air conditioning load forecasting methods have certain limitations or problems such as high computational workload and long cycle.This article proposes to use multiple sets of real-time data for regression analysis and prediction of air conditioning load when the conditions in the early planning stage are uncertain.Through correlation analysis of multiple pairs of data,the correlation between energy supply area,cooling capacity,and heating capacity is judged,and the regression equation is fitted.It is applied to actual engineering for air conditioning load prediction.By comparing the calculated values with traditional air conditioning load prediction methods,the relative error is found to be within 5%.This method can be used as a practical method for early load estimation under certain conditions.

load forecasting methodsenergy center loadsregression analysiscorrelation

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华东建筑设计研究院有限公司,上海 200011

负荷预测方法 能源中心负荷 回归分析 相关性

2024

能源工程
浙江省能源研究所 浙江省能源研究会

能源工程

影响因子:0.314
ISSN:1004-3950
年,卷(期):2024.44(1)
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