首页|农药零增长政策对农药施用总量和强度的影响

农药零增长政策对农药施用总量和强度的影响

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农药零增长政策实施至今已有8年多,定量分析政策效果,尤其是农药减量效果的异质性及市场价格机制对减量效果影响的研究还很少见。本研究基于2010-2019年我国26个省(自治区)的面板数据,运用静态面板、动态面板及调节效应模型定量评估零增长政策对农药施用的影响及市场价格机制在其中的调节作用。结果表明:零增长政策在全国和区域层面均显著降低了农药施用总量和强度,但其政策效力随时间延长而递减。零增长政策的农药减量效果具有区域异质性,在非粮食主产区的农药减量效果大于在粮食主产区的减量效果。零增长政策对施用总量和强度的减量效果也存在一定的差异,施用总量减量效果略高于施用强度减量效果。市场价格机制对零增长政策的农药减量效果具有显著的调节效应,农产品-农药价格指数比上升在一定程度上削弱了零增长政策的农药减量作用。研究建议:针对区域特点构建绿色防控手段价格补贴机制,加强对单位面积农药投入量的刚性约束,重视零增长政策与涉农市场价格机制联动,以实现最优调控效果。
Impact of pesticide use zero-growth policy on the total amount and intensity of pesticide utilization
The pesticide use zero-growth policy was implemented in 2015;however,the quantitative assessment of policy effect,especially the heterogeneity of pesticide reduction effect and moderating effect of price mechanism on pesticide use reduction has not received much attention.To narrow these gaps,this study constructed a panel data comprising the data from 26 provinces in China from 2010 to 2019.Based on the dataset,this study used the static panel,dynamic panel,and moderating effect models to investigate the impact of zero-growth policy on pesticide use and the moderating effect of market price mechanism on the reduction effect of pesticide use zero-growth policy.The models' estimation results revealed that the zero-growth policy significantly reduced the gross amount and intensity of pesticide use,while the reduction effect declined over time.Furthermore,there were regional difference in the pesticide use reduction effect of the zero-growth policy.The zero-growth policy has caused a greater reduction effect on pesticide use in non-major grain producing areas than in major grain producing areas.Besides,the reduction effect on the total amount of pesticide use was slightly higher than the intensity of pesticide use.Finally,the market price mechanism had a significant moderating effect on the reduction effect of the pesticide use zero-growth policy,which is measured as the ratio of the produce price index to pesticide price index.The increase in produce price could encourage the use of pesticide and discourage the reduction effect of pesticide use zero-growth policy.To achieve the optimal control effects,this paper proposes those suggestions such as building a price subsidy mechanism for green control technology according to regional characteristics,strengthening rigid constraints on pesticide utilization intensity,and paying more attention to the linkage between zero-growth policy and agriculture-related market price mechanisms.

policy evaluationzero-growth policypesticide reductiongreen development

刘玮琪、钟太洋

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南京大学地理与海洋科学学院,南京 210023

政策评价 零增长政策 农药减量 绿色发展

国家自然科学基金项目国家社会科学基金重大项目

4226114475018ZDA053

2024

农业资源与环境学报
农业部环境保护科研监测所,中国农业生态环境保护协会

农业资源与环境学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.059
ISSN:2095-6819
年,卷(期):2024.41(4)
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