劳动力非农就业的减畜效应研究——来自牧区的经验证据
The Livestock Reduction Effect of Off-farm Employment:Empirical Evidence from Pastoral Area
王卫东 1王术坤 2刘敏3
作者信息
- 1. 北京林业大学经济管理学院 北京 100083
- 2. 中国社会科学院农村发展研究所 北京 100732
- 3. 兰州大学草地农业科技学院 兰州 730020
- 折叠
摘要
本文基于甘、藏、青、新及内蒙古五省份牧户调查数据,分析2007-2018年中国牧区劳动力向非农产业转移的趋势,并揭示非农就业的减畜效应.结果表明,牧区劳动力非农就业水平逐渐提升,但其远低于农区的平均水平.牧区劳动力非农就业以本地非农就业为主.同时,男性非农就业的参与率要明显高于女性.实证结果表明,非农就业显著降低了牧民养殖规模,并且主要减少了价格波动风险更小畜种的养殖量.异质性分析结果表明,外地非农就业对牧民养殖规模的影响要高于本地非农就业,女性非农就业对牧民养殖规模的影响比男性非农就业更突出.本研究能够为中国牧区劳动力就业、生态保护以及畜产品供给的相关政策制定提供一定的决策参考.
Abstract
Based on the survey data of pastoral households in Gansu,Tibet,Qinghai,Xinjiang,and Inner Mongolia,this paper depicts the trend of off-farm employment in pastoral areas of China from 2007 to 2018,and reveals the livestock reduction effect of off-farm employ-ment.The results show that the off-farm employment level of labor force in pastoral areas has gradually increased,but it is far lower than the average level of agricultural areas in China.The off-farm employment of labor force in pastoral areas is mainly local off-farm employment.At the same time,the participation rate of men in off-farm employment is significantly higher than that of women.Off-farm employment has significantly reduced herdsman farming scale,and mainly re-duced the production of lower-risk species.The results of heterogeneity analysis shows that the impact of migration on herdsmen's breeding scale is higher than that of local off-farm employ-ment,and the impact of women's off-farm employment on herdsmen's breeding scale is more prominent than that of mens off-farm employment.The paper can provide certain decision-making reference for the formulation of relevant policies on employment,ecological protection and animal product supply in China.
关键词
非农就业/养殖规模/牧区Key words
Off-farm employment/Animal husbandry scale/Pastoral areas引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年基金(72003083)
国家自然科学基金青年基金(72003194)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项兰州大学重点研究基地建设项目(lzujbky-2022-sp13)
中国工程院重点咨询项目(2022-HZ-09)
中国工程院重点咨询项目(2022-XY-139)
"双一流"引导专项(561119215)
出版年
2024
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据