首页|劳动力非农就业的减畜效应研究——来自牧区的经验证据

劳动力非农就业的减畜效应研究——来自牧区的经验证据

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本文基于甘、藏、青、新及内蒙古五省份牧户调查数据,分析2007-2018年中国牧区劳动力向非农产业转移的趋势,并揭示非农就业的减畜效应。结果表明,牧区劳动力非农就业水平逐渐提升,但其远低于农区的平均水平。牧区劳动力非农就业以本地非农就业为主。同时,男性非农就业的参与率要明显高于女性。实证结果表明,非农就业显著降低了牧民养殖规模,并且主要减少了价格波动风险更小畜种的养殖量。异质性分析结果表明,外地非农就业对牧民养殖规模的影响要高于本地非农就业,女性非农就业对牧民养殖规模的影响比男性非农就业更突出。本研究能够为中国牧区劳动力就业、生态保护以及畜产品供给的相关政策制定提供一定的决策参考。
The Livestock Reduction Effect of Off-farm Employment:Empirical Evidence from Pastoral Area
Based on the survey data of pastoral households in Gansu,Tibet,Qinghai,Xinjiang,and Inner Mongolia,this paper depicts the trend of off-farm employment in pastoral areas of China from 2007 to 2018,and reveals the livestock reduction effect of off-farm employ-ment.The results show that the off-farm employment level of labor force in pastoral areas has gradually increased,but it is far lower than the average level of agricultural areas in China.The off-farm employment of labor force in pastoral areas is mainly local off-farm employment.At the same time,the participation rate of men in off-farm employment is significantly higher than that of women.Off-farm employment has significantly reduced herdsman farming scale,and mainly re-duced the production of lower-risk species.The results of heterogeneity analysis shows that the impact of migration on herdsmen's breeding scale is higher than that of local off-farm employ-ment,and the impact of women's off-farm employment on herdsmen's breeding scale is more prominent than that of mens off-farm employment.The paper can provide certain decision-making reference for the formulation of relevant policies on employment,ecological protection and animal product supply in China.

Off-farm employmentAnimal husbandry scalePastoral areas

王卫东、王术坤、刘敏

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北京林业大学经济管理学院 北京 100083

中国社会科学院农村发展研究所 北京 100732

兰州大学草地农业科技学院 兰州 730020

非农就业 养殖规模 牧区

国家自然科学基金青年基金国家自然科学基金青年基金中央高校基本科研业务费专项兰州大学重点研究基地建设项目中国工程院重点咨询项目中国工程院重点咨询项目"双一流"引导专项

7200308372003194lzujbky-2022-sp132022-HZ-092022-XY-139561119215

2024

农业技术经济
中国农业技术经济学会 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所

农业技术经济

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.923
ISSN:1000-6370
年,卷(期):2024.(5)