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社会保险降费改革对农民工就业类型的影响研究

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降低社会保险费率是减轻企业负担、促进就业的重要政策工具。本文回顾了社会保险降费改革历程,以失业保险和养老保险为例总结各省降费进展情况,基于2013-2018年全国流动人口动态监测调查数据,探讨了社会保险降费改革对农民工就业类型的影响。结果表明,社会保险降费改革呈现出东部地区降费早、中西部地区降费步伐较一致的特点;社会保险降费改革显著提高了农民工正规就业的概率,释放了雇佣红利。其中,失业保险降费改革提升农民工7。1%的正规就业概率,养老保险降费改革提升农民工12。6%的正规就业概率;异质性分析表明,降费改革均会促进不同性别、不同流动范围农民工正规就业,但失业保险和养老保险的影响效应有所差异。本文对于稳步推进社会保险降费改革、关注社会保险降费改革促进农民工正规就业以及实施差异化社会保险降费政策具有重要启示。
Research on the Impact of Social Insurance Premium Reduction Reform on the Employment Types of Migrant Workers
Reducing social insurance premium is an important policy tool for reducing the burden on enterprises and promoting employment.This article reviews the process of social insur-ance premium reform,summarizes the progress of premium reform in various provinces using un-employment insurance and pension insurance as examples,and explores the impact of social insur-ance premium reform on the employment types of migrant workers based on China Migrants Dy-namic Survey from 2013 to 2018.The results indicate that the social insurance premium reform in various provinces shows the characteristics of early fee reduction in the eastern region and relative-ly consistent pace of fee reduction in the central and western regions;The social insurance premium reform has significantly increased the probability of formal employment for migrant work-ers and released employment dividends.Among them,the premium reform of unemployment insur-ance fees has increased the probability of formal employment for migrant workers by 7.1%,while the premium reform pension insurance fees has increased the probability of formal employment for migrant workers by 12.6%.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the social insurance premium reform will promote the formal employment for migrant workers of different genders and mobility ranges,but the impact of unemployment insurance and pension insurance varies.This study has important implications for steadily promoting social insurance premium reform,focusing on promoting formal employment of migrant workers through social insurance premium reform,and implementing differ-entiated social insurance premium reduction policies.

Social insuranceInsurance premium reformEmployment typeMigrant worker

陈传波、高端阳、李睿

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中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院 北京 100872

中国人民大学社会与人口学院 北京 100872

大连海事大学公共管理与人文艺术学院 大连 116026

社会保险 降费改革 就业类型 农民工

中央高校基本科研业务费专项

3132023351

2024

农业技术经济
中国农业技术经济学会 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所

农业技术经济

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.923
ISSN:1000-6370
年,卷(期):2024.(5)