Does the Ultra-small-scale Agricultural Family Operation Model also Has Succession Effect:Based on the Empirical Data of the Two-generation Matching Survey of Rural Households in Shandong and Anhui Provinces
In this paper,using the survey data of two-generation matching of father and son in rural families in Shandong and Anhui provinces,the discrete choice model and semi-nonpara-metric model estimation methods are used to test the succession effect of China's ultra-small-scale agricultural family business model.The results of the study show that:agricultural intergener-ational inheritance has a significant positive impact on the expansion of family land scale but has no significant impact on the purchase of agricultural machinery;farmers in plain areas do not show a significant impact on land expansion or purchase of agricultural machinery.There are significant Succession effect for farmers in hilly and mountainous areas in two aspects;Succession effect has a certain threshold of operation scale.No matter in operation scale or purchase of agricultural ma-chinery,only those farmers whose operation scale exceeds 0.8 hectares show a significant succes-sion effect,while the succession effect in both aspects is not significant for those whose business scale is less than or equal to 0.8 hectares;The family with the father entering the middle ageing stage and the family with young people working in agriculture will show a more significant succes-sion effect.The main reason the heirs of small-scale farmers have no significant effect on operation scale and agricultural machinery purchase is that these farmers will continue to maintain the char-acteristics of part-time work,and off-farm income is their primary source of income.This research can provide specific decision-making references for optimizing agricultural producer support poli-cies and optimizing agricultural management systems.
Agricultural family OperationSuccession effectLarge-scale operation