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基于灰色关联分析的甘肃省粮食产量影响因素研究

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文章基于甘肃省2012-2021年的粮食产量及相关数据,采用灰色关联分析方法,从自然因素、科技因素和经济因素三个方面选取了9个影响甘肃省粮食产量的指标,分析结果表明:有效灌溉面积对甘肃省粮食产量的影响最大,粮食播种面积、化肥施用量和农业机械总动力对粮食产量的影响逐渐增强,而农村人均可支配收入对甘肃省粮食产量的影响最小.基于此,从严守耕地红线、加大科技投入力度、培养高素质农民和大力发展绿色农业等方面提出了提高甘肃省粮食产量的建议.
Study on Influencing Factors of Grain Yield in Gansu Province Based on Grey Association Study
Based on the grain yields and related data of Gansu Province from 2012 to 2021,the article analyzes nine indicators affecting grain yield in Gansu Province selected from three aspects,namely,natural factors,scientific and technological factors,and economic factors,using grey association study.The analysis results showed that:the effective irrigated area has the greatest influence on grain yield in Gansu Province,the influence of grain sowing area,fertilizer application and total power of agricultural machinery on grain yield gradually increases,while the per capita disposable income in rural areas has the least influence on grain yield in Gansu Province.Accordingly,suggestions for improving grain production in Gansu Province are put forward in terms of strictly abiding by the red line of arable land,increasing investment in science and technology,cultivating high-quality farmers and vigorously developing green agriculture.

Gansu ProvinceGrain yieldGrey association studyInfect factorsScientific and technological inputsHigh-quality farmersGreen agriculture

马瑞、司睿

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甘肃农业大学管理学院 兰州 730070

甘肃省 粮食产量 灰色关联分析 影响因素 科技投入 高素质农民 绿色农业

国家哲学社会科学基金西部项目国家社会科学基金一般项目

20XSH01820BZZ049

2024

农业科技管理
吉林省农科院 中国农业科技管理研究会

农业科技管理

影响因子:1.174
ISSN:1001-8611
年,卷(期):2024.43(3)