首页|Assessing the impacts of groundwater management policies on farmer cooperation using agent-based modeling

Assessing the impacts of groundwater management policies on farmer cooperation using agent-based modeling

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This study presents a new holistic framework for modeling farmer decision-making by integrating both top-down and bottom-up approaches.It uses three interlinked subsystems to evaluate how changes in water policies impact farmer decisions and profits:the first model simulates water balance,the second simulates farmer behavior,and the third assesses farmer profits.Two scenarios are explored:Scenario I introduces penalties for groundwater overexploitation,and Scenario Ⅱ implements awareness raising and training to encourage using modern irrigation systems.The results show that penalties lead to reductions in water requests exceeding limits by 8%,45%,and 68%for fines of 1000,5000,and 10,000 IRR·m-3,with corresponding net profit decreases of 1.3%,8.0%,and 11.6%.The ranges of farmer cooperation for groundwater management vary from 20%to 50%over the 10-year simulation period.In Scenario Ⅱ,increasing the radius of awareness from 0.5 to 2 km substantially increases the adoption of modern irrigation from 1457 to 2057 farmers.These findings highlight how different policy measures impact various types of farmer based on their specific characteristics and preferences.

Agent-based modelingAnyLogicfarmers'cooperationbehavioral subsystemsystem dynamicsgroundwater depletion

Sayed-Ali OHAB-YAZDI、Azadeh AHMADI

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Department of Civil Engineering,Isfahan University of Technology,Isfahan 8415683111,Iran

Faculty of Civil,Water and Environmental Engineering,Shahid Beheshti University,Tehran 1983969411,Iran

2024

农业科学与工程前沿(英文版)

农业科学与工程前沿(英文版)

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.11(4)