首页|数字金融能否提升农户家庭经济韧性?——基于CHFS数据的实证研究

数字金融能否提升农户家庭经济韧性?——基于CHFS数据的实证研究

扫码查看
当前数字金融发展迅速,特别是在防止农户家庭返贫和推动农村经济高质量发展方面展现了显著优势.提升农户家庭经济韧性是我国农村经济发展的关键目标.本研究基于 2015-2019 年间的中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,采用动态福利函数估计方法测度农户家庭经济韧性指标,构建面板固定效应模型,实证分析数字金融对农户家庭经济韧性的直接影响机制.同时,本研究利用中介效应模型检验了农业全要素生产率、风险承担能力和社会资本在数字金融促进农户家庭经济韧性提升中的间接作用,并从数字鸿沟的视角分析了数字金融对不同农户家庭的异质性影响.研究结果表明:1)数字金融显著促进了农户家庭经济韧性水平的提升;2)农业全要素生产率、风险承担能力和社会资本在数字金融对农户家庭经济韧性影响中发挥了重要的中介作用;3)异质性分析显示,即使存在数字鸿沟的情况下,拥有高智能手机使用水平、高网络通信支出以及高金融素养的农户家庭,数字金融对其经济韧性的促进作用更为显著.基于研究结果,本研究为制定相关政策建议提供了理论和实证依据,建议加强数字金融的普及与应用,特别是在农村地区,以增强农户家庭的经济韧性,促进农村可持续发展.
Can digital finance enhance the economic resilience of rural households?Empirical research based on CHFS data
The rapid development of digital finance has shown significant advantages,particularly in preventing rural households from falling back into poverty and promoting high-quality rural economic development.Enhancing the economic resilience of rural households is a key goal of China's rural economic development.This study,based on data from the China Household Finance Survey(CHFS)from 2015 to 2019,employs the dynamic welfare function estimation method to measure economic resilience indicators of rural households.It constructs a panel fixed-effects model to empirically analyze the direct impact mechanism of digital finance on the economic resilience of rural households.Additionally,this study uses a mediation effects model to examine the indirect roles of agricultural total factor productivity,risk-bearing capacity,and social capital in enhancing rural households'economic resilience through digital finance.It also analyzes the heterogeneous impact of digital finance on different rural households from the perspective of the digital divide.The results show that:1)Digital finance significantly promotes the economic resilience of rural households;2)Agricultural total factor productivity,risk-bearing capacity,and social capital play important mediating roles in the impact of digital finance on the economic resilience of rural households;3)Heterogeneity analysis indicates that even in the presence of a digital divide,rural households with higher levels of smartphone use,higher network communication spending,and higher financial literacy benefit more significantly from digital finance in terms of economic resilience.Based on these findings,this study provides a theoretical and empirical basis for formulating relevant policy recommendations,suggesting that the popularization and application of digital finance should be strengthened,especially in rural areas,to enhance the economic resilience of rural households and promote sustainable rural development.

digital financerural household economic resiliencemediation effectsheterogeneitypanel fixed-effects mode

庞金波、顾宇轩

展开 >

东北农业大学经济管理学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150030

数字金融 农户家庭经济韧性 中介效应 异质性 面板固定效应模型

2024

农业现代化研究
中国科学院农业研究委员会 中国科学院亚热带农业生态研究所

农业现代化研究

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.722
ISSN:1000-0275
年,卷(期):2024.45(5)