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电子商务发展的空间分布及其对实体经济的影响

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近年来,电子商务的高速发展对我国的经济发展起到了重要的推动作用.探究其对不同区域经济以及实体经济的影响作用有利于其持续健康的发展.研究采用莫兰指数对我国电子商务的空间分布特征进行自相关分析,并采用回归模型分析法分析了电子商务对商用房价的影响,进而分析其对实体经济空间分布的影响.结果表明,我国电子商务从2011-2020年间的全局莫兰指数均大于0,且最高达到了0.036.商/住房价格比与电子商务水平的三种回归模型结果系数均小于0,即均为负相关关系.说明电子商务的发展对实体零售业的发展起到一定的抑制作用,城市商业传统的集聚态势在电子商务发展的冲击下会大大减弱.为推进电子商务与实体经济的共同发展提供了有效的参考依据.
The Spatial Distribution of E-commerce Development and Its Impact on the Real Economy
In recent years,the rapid development of e-commerce has played an important role in promoting China's economic development.Exploring its impact on different regional economies and the real economy is beneficial for its sustainable and healthy development.Therefore,Moran's I is used in the study to carry out autocorrelation analysis on the spatial distribution characteristics of e-commerce in China,and regression model analysis is used to analyze the impact of e-commerce on commercial housing prices,and then its impact on the spatial distribution of the real economy is analyzed.The results show that the overall Moran's I of China's e-commerce from 2011 to 2020 is greater than 0,and the highest is 0.036.The coefficients of the three regression models for the ratio of business to housing prices and the level of e-commerce are all less than 0,indicating a negative correlation.The development of e-commerce has a certain inhibitory effect on the development of physical retail industry,and traditional agglomeration trend of urban commerce will be greatly weakened under the impact of e-commerce development.

e-commercereal economyspatial distributionregression analysis

王迎

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大连财经学院商学院,辽宁 大连 116600

大连自贸区协同创新研究中心,辽宁 大连 116600

电子商务 实体经济 空间分布 回归分析

2024

湖北第二师范学院学报
湖北第二师范学院

湖北第二师范学院学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.222
ISSN:1674-344X
年,卷(期):2024.41(1)
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