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大国博弈视角下美国反情报活动趋势及拜登政府对华反情报战略

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[研究目的]总结归纳冷战后美国反情报活动的演进趋势、探明美国如何依靠反情报活动服务其整体对外战略,并对当前拜登政府的对华反情报战略加以分析,以期服务于中美长期大国博弈,赢得战略主动.[研究方法]运用系统分析法,在场景驱动的视角下将冷战后美国反情报体系的演进历程划分为战略寻锚、战略转型、服务大国博弈三个阶段,并着重对当前这一历史时期美国战略化使用反情报行动的措施和思路加以剖析.[研究结论]2017 年后美国政府的反情报改革全面转向于服务大国博弈,当前美国政府正试图战略化的使用反情报工具全面打压、遏制我国.我国应积极吸取他国利用反情报工作推进整体对外战略的既有经验,形成具有中国特色的反情报研究和工作体系,以避免在中美长期大国博弈中陷入被动.
The Trend of America's Counterintelligence Activities from the Perspective of Great Power Game and Biden Administration's Counterintelligence Strategy Against China
[Research purpose]To support the long-term great power game between China and the United States,and maintain a strategic initiative position,this paper summarizes the post-cold war evolution of U.S.counterintelligence and examines how the United States re-lies on counterintelligence to support its grand foreign strategy.Based on this,we analyze the Biden administration's counterintelligence strategy against China.[Research method]From the perspective of the systematic analysis method,this paper divides the post-cold war development of the American counterintelligence system into three phases—strategic anchoring,strategic transforming,and the great pow-ers game serving,and focuses on the measures and ideas of America's strategic use in counterintelligence during the current historical peri-od.[Research conclusion]After 2017,the U.S.government's counterintelligence reform was fully aligned with the great powers game.At present,the U.S.government is trying to strategically use counterintelligence tools to comprehensively suppress and contain China.China should actively learn from other countries'experiences in using counterintelligence to promote grand foreign strategy and build a counterintelligence research and work system with Chinese characteristics to better serve the long-term great power game between China and the United States.

great power gamecounterintelligence activitiescounterintelligence strategySino-American competitionAmerica's intelli-gence communityBiden Administrationsystematic analysis method

陈柏岑

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大连外国语大学东北亚研究院 大连 116000

大国博弈 反情报活动 反情报战略 中美竞争 美国情报界 拜登政府 系统分析法

大连外国语大学科研项目

2022XJQN21

2024

10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2024.03.003

情报杂志
陕西省科学技术信息研究所

情报杂志

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子：1.502
ISSN：1002-1965
年,卷(期)：2024.43(3)
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