首页|基于地平线扫描的产业风险预警体系框架研究

基于地平线扫描的产业风险预警体系框架研究

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[研究目的]产业在发展过程中受到各维度风险因素的影响,建立科学的产业风险扫描和预警体系有助于政府和产业各主体识别、发现潜在风险,以提前做好应对策略.[研究方法]基于地平线扫描和风险预警的相关理论方法,构建面向产业环境、社会和产业治理(ESG)维度的地平线扫描过程,并以此为基础构建产业风险预警体系框架,探讨框架在实际应用中的关键问题.[研究结论]该框架有助于对产业风险进行全面扫描、识别、评估和预警,发现可能仍处于早期的弱信号,为产业风险预警工作提供新的理论和实践路径,未来建议依托产业信息服务平台等系统实现并优化相关预警服务.
Research on the Framework of Industrial Risk Warning System Based on Horizon Scanning
[Research purpose]Industries are affected by risk factors in various dimensions in the process of development.Establishing a scientific industrial risk scanning and early warning system can help the government and various subjects of industries to identify and dis-cover potential risks in order to prepare response strategies in advance.[Research method]Based on the theoretical approaches related to horizon scanning and risk early warning,we construct a horizon scanning process for industrial environmental,social and industrial govern-ance(ESG)dimensions,build a framework for industrial risk early warning system,and explore key issues of the framework in practice.[Research conclusion]The framework helps to conduct comprehensive scanning,identification,assessment and early warning of industri-al risks,discover weak signals that may still be at an early stage,and provide new theoretical and practical paths for industrial risk early warning.In the future,it is recommended to realize and optimize relevant early warning services by relying on systems such as industrial information service platforms.

horizon scanningweak signalsintelligence analysisindustry riskrisk identificationrisk warningESG

曹悦、白晨、张越

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中国科学技术信息研究所 北京 100038

地平线扫描 弱信号 情报分析 产业风险 风险识别 风险预警 ESG

中国科学技术信息研究所创新研究基金青年项目国家重点研发计划

QN2023-022019YFA0707202

2024

情报杂志
陕西省科学技术信息研究所

情报杂志

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.502
ISSN:1002-1965
年,卷(期):2024.43(3)
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