[Research purpose]Financial security is an important component of national security.Financial crisis warning,as the outpost and first line of defense for financial regulation,can minimize losses in economic and other aspects.Therefore,exploring the financial cri-sis warning intelligence service model not only provides new path for improving financial risk governance,but also helps to enhance the a-bility and level of intelligence services for financial security.[Research method]Based on the perspective of intelligence,this paper a-dopts interview method and document survey method,analyzes the root causes of the intelligence failure forms of financial crisis warning,constructs a framework for financial crisis warning intelligence,and explains it from aspects such as early warning principles,intelligence perception,analysis strategies and warning mechanisms.[Research conclusion]It shows that implementing a hierarchical and decom-posed analysis strategy,transforming warning methods and strengthening crisis warning mechanisms can enhance the intelligence response performance of financial crisis warning in uncertain risk scenarios,and reduce the occurrence of crisis warning failures.
关键词
金融危机/金融情报/情报失灵/预警情报模型/预警机制/危机管理
Key words
financial crisis/financial intelligence/intelligence failure/intelligence early warning model/early warning mechanism/crisis management