首页|Assessment of the Southern Ocean Sea Surface Temperature Biases in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models

Assessment of the Southern Ocean Sea Surface Temperature Biases in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models

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This work evaluates the performances of climate models in simulating the Southern Ocean(SO)sea surface temperature(SST)by a large ensemble from phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5 and CMIP6).By combining models from the same community sharing highly similar SO SST biases and eliminating the effect of global-mean biases on local SST biases,the results reveal that the ensemble-mean SO SST bias at 70°-30°S decreases from 0.38℃ in CMIP5 to 0.28℃ in CM1P6,together with increased intermodel consistency.The dominant mode of the intermodel variations in the zonal-mean SST biases is characterized as a meridional uniform warm bias pattern,explaining 79.1%of the intermodel variance and exhibiting positive prin-cipal values for most models.The ocean mixed layer heat budget further demonstrates that the SST biases at 70°-50°S primarily result from the excessive summertime heating effect from surface net heat flux.The biases in surface net heat flux south of 50°S are largely impacted by surface shortwave radiation from cloud and clear sky components at different latitudes.North of 50°S,the un-derestimated westerlies reduce the northward Ekman transport and hence northward cold advection in models,leading to warm SST biases year-round.In addition,the westerly biases are primarily traced back to the atmosphere-alone model simulations forced by the observed SST and sea ice.These results disclose the thermal origin at the high latitude and dynamical origin at the low latitude of the SO SST biases and underscore the significance of the deficiencies of atmospheric models in producing the SO SST biases.

Southern OceanCMIP5CM1P6SST biasessurface heat fluxwesterliesatmospheric biasescloud simulation

GAO Zhen、ZHAO Shichang、LIU Qinyu、LONG Shang-Min、SUN Shantong

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Key Laboratory of Marine Hazards Forecasting,Ministry of Natural Resources,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China

College of Oceanography,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China

Laoshan Laboratory,Qingdao 266237,China

Key Laboratory of Marine Hazards Forecasting,Ministry of Natural Resources,Hohai University,Nan-jing 210098,China

Physical Oceanography Laboratory,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China

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National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Key Research and Development Program of ChinaNatural Science Foundation of Jiangsu ProvinceFundamental Research Funds for the Central UniversitiesFundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities

420762084214101941831175417060262017YFA0604600BK20211209B210202135B210201015

2024

中国海洋大学学报(自然科学英文版)
中国海洋大学

中国海洋大学学报(自然科学英文版)

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.268
ISSN:1672-5182
年,卷(期):2024.23(5)