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全球平均温度序列的比较

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7着重评述了目前国际上常用的3个全球平均温度序列:HadCRUT3,NCDC及GISS.后两个序列1982年之后引入了卫星观测资料.NCDC对资料作了插补,建立了1880-2009年覆盖面完整的序列.HadCRUT3序列所显示的近10年变暖的停滞可能主要是缺少极区资料造成的.NCDC与GISS两个序列依然保持约0.1℃/10a的增温.3个序列1910-2009年的变暖趋势十分接近,在0.70~0.75℃/100a之间.
Comparison of Global Mean Temperature Series
Studies on the reconstruction of global mean temperature series are reviewed. Three series, HadCRUT3,NCDC, and GISS, are described in detail. Satellite data have been used since 1982 in the latter two series. NCDC series provides the most complete coverage among the three series by using statistic interpolation technique. It is found that the pause of global warming in 2000-2009, which is revealed in HadCRUT3 series, is caused by the incompleteness of data coverage. Missing of data over the Arctic reduced the positive anomaly of global mean temperature, for where the local warming was very high recently. GISS and NCDC series show much higher warming trends during the last 10 years. Three series give the nearly same warming trend (0.70-0.75 ℃/100a) of global mean temperature for 1910-2009.

global meantemperatureHadCRUT3NCDCGISS

唐国利、王绍武、闻新宇、黄建斌

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中国气象局国家气候中心,北京,100081

北京大学物理学院大气与海洋科学系,北京,100871

清华大学地球系统科学研究中心,北京,100084

全球平均 温度 HadCRUT3 NCDC GISS

国家重点基础研究发展规划(973计划)国家科技支撑计划中国气象局气候变化专项项目

2010CB4284012007BAC03A01540000G010C01

2011

气候变化研究进展
国家气候中心

气候变化研究进展

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.711
ISSN:1673-1719
年,卷(期):2011.7(2)
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