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气候适应性技术采纳对农户农业收入的影响

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  • 国家科技期刊平台
  • NETL
  • NSTL
  • 万方数据
为探究气候变化冲击下，气候适应性技术采纳对农户农业收入的影响效应，文中基于黄河流域中上游地区6个省份2502份农户调研数据，使用无条件分位数回归(UQR)和再中心化影响函数(RIF)分解回归，分析了气候适应性技术采纳对不同农业收入水平农户的增收效应及收入差距影响机制，得出以下结论:气候适应性技术采纳对农业收入水平由低到高的农户的增收效应不断递减，对低农业收入水平农户增收效应最明显;气候适应性技术采纳可以缩减农户内部农业收入差距，对低农业收入水平组影响效应最明显;RIF分解回归显示，结构效应是农户内部农业收入差距缩小的主因，以农户受教育水平影响最主要。因此，气候适应性技术应该被广泛推广，同时要注意提升农户对气候适应性技术的理解与认知，提高农户对气候适应性技术的接受意愿，鼓励农业收入低水平农户采取组合型气候适应性技术，同时政府可根据实际情况给予农户适当使用补贴，减轻农户使用负担。
Impact of climate adaption technology adoption on farm households'agricultural income
In order to investigate the impact of climate adaptation technology adoption on farmer households'agricultural income under the impact of climate change,the income-growth effect of climate adaptation technology adoption on farmer households and the mechanism of the effect on income gap were analyzed with different levels of agricultural income based on 2502 research data of farmer households in six provinces in the middle and upper reaches of the Yellow River,using the Unconditional Quartile Regression(UQR)and Recentered Influence Function(RIF)decomposition regression.Conclusions are as follows.Climate adaptation technology adoption has decreasing effect on the income increase of farm households from low to high levels of agricultural income,and the effect on the income increase of farm households with low level of agricultural income is the most obvious.Climate adaptation technology adoption can narrow the gap of agricultural income within the farm households,and the effect is the most obvious within the low level agricultural income group.The RIF decomposition regression shows that the structural effect is the main reason for the narrowing of the gap of agricultural income within the farm households,mainly with the effect of education level of farm households on the income gap.Therefore,climate adaptive technologies should be widely promoted,and at the same time,attention should be paid to improve the understanding and cognition of farmers on climate adaptive technologies,improve the willingness of farmers to accept climate adaptive technologies,encourage the low-income farmers to adopt a combination of climate adaptive technologies,and the government should give appropriate subsidies to reduce the burden of farmers.

Climate adaptation technologyAgricultural incomeDifferent income levelsUnconditional Quantile Regression(UQR)Recentered Influence Function(RIF)decomposition regression

李现康、韩星星、梁洪松

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西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,杨凌 712100

气候适应性技术 农业收入 不同收入水平 无条件分位数回归(UQR) 再中心化影响函数(RIF)分解回归

陕西省社会科学基金

2020R047

2024

10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2023.186

气候变化研究进展
国家气候中心

气候变化研究进展

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子：1.711
ISSN：1673-1719
年,卷(期)：2024.20(2)
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